Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors: match statistics
Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Rivadavia played Argentinos Juniors in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Independiente Rivadavia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Argentinos Juniors: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Rivadavia scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Argentinos Juniors scores 1.08 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Rivadavia 67%, Argentinos Juniors 42%. Over 2.5: Independiente Rivadavia 50%, Argentinos Juniors 25%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Argentinos Juniors has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.59. Independiente Rivadavia: 13.7 shots per match, Argentinos Juniors: 14.9.
Match halves
Independiente Rivadavia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. Argentinos Juniors: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Independiente Rivadavia: 16-30 (7 goals). Argentinos Juniors: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Rivadavia holds the advantage in chance quality: average home xG 1.79 versus Argentinos 1.28, averaging 15.14 shots and 5.86 shots on target per game compared to visitors’ 9.5 and 4.00, translating to 1.57 goals scored per home match versus Argentinos’ 1.00 away. Argentinos Juniors are more compact defensively — conceding only 0.75 goals on average away, keeping clean sheets in 50% of away games and with xG against 1.14, while hosts concede 1.14 goals with xG against 1.48. Both teams have scored 9 and conceded 4 in their last five matches, with points per game 2.4 for the hosts and 2.6 for the visitors, indicating comparable form. Considering the home side’s superiority in chance creation and a higher home win rate (57% vs Argentinos’ 25% away wins), I expect a narrow victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No (65% vs 35%) in Independiente Rivadavia — Argentinos Juniors. Home side keep a clean sheet in 63% of matches and concede on average 0.5 goals, while Argentinos have 50% clean sheets and concede 0.75 goals. Seasonal BTTS rates are 38% for the home team and 50% for the away team (average 44%), close to the league level of 43%, indicating no strong bias toward BTTS. Although Independiente post a high xG of 2.06 with 17.63 shots and 6.0 shots on target, their goals per game average is only 1.13 with a conversion rate of 6% — they create chances but often fail to convert (xG 2.06 vs 1.13 goals). In the short term both teams have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in the last 5 matches, and form BTTS rates are 40% and 60%, which raises BTTS probability but reflects recent games only. Summary: the dominant signals are the high clean sheet rates (63% and 50%) and low seasonal goals conceded (0.5 and 0.75), so I ultimately project No Goal/No Goal as the stronger scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.35 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.95 for Argentinos Juniors, totaling 2.30 goals. The home side has a high xG_for of 2.06 but actually scores only 1.13 goals per game with a low shot conversion rate of 6%, while Argentinos has xG_for 1.28 and a season average of 1.00 goal, which limits the total goals. Additionally, the hosts keep 63% clean sheets this season and the visitors 50%, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals this season is only 25% for both teams (avg. 25%), all pointing to fewer goals. With an expected mean of 2.30, the Poisson distribution yields roughly 67% for Over 1.5, ~40% for Over 2.5 and ~20% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal from the data is Under 2.5 (about a 60% probability).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (X/1). Independiente drew at the break in 63% of their home matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 63%), while Argentinos draws away in 50% of their games, which strongly favors a lead at the break being a draw. After the break the home side is more effective: the home team’s average goals in the second half is 1.00 versus 0.75 for the visitors, and hosts score on average 0.75 second-half goals compared to 0.5 for Argentinos, increasing the probability of a home lead at Full-Time. Additionally, the home xG is 2.06 versus 1.28 for the visitors and they average 17.63 shots (9.5 for the away team) with 6.0 on target vs 4.0, and the season home win rate is 63%, so the X/1 scenario has the strongest data support. At the same time the visitors show a higher conversion rate (11% vs 6%), which is why I retained a significant share for draws and occasional away goals (X/X 19% and X/2 9%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Rivadavia | Argentinos Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Argentinos Juniors is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 2.6 pts / match - Argentinos Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Rivadavia is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 1.08 goals / match - Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 0.58 goals / match - Argentinos Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Argentinos Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
Argentinos Juniors scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Independiente Rivadavia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Rivadavia
Over / Under - Argentinos Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente Rivadavia is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Independiente Rivadavia · 1.33 pts / match - Argentinos Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Rivadavia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Argentinos Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinos Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Rivadavia | Liga | Argentinos Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.03 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 43% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 36% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente RivadaviaSubstitutionOn: Iván Emilio Villalba ChamorroOff: Leonard Richard Costa Martínez
- Argentinos JuniorsSubstitutionOn: Facundo Valentín JainikoskiOff: Emiliano Sebastián Viveros Mereles
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 - 0 Argentinos Juniors. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors?
The Primera División match finished Independiente Rivadavia 3:1 Argentinos Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Rivadavia and Argentinos Juniors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1, Argentinos Juniors won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors?
Independiente Rivadavia score 1.67 goals per game on average and Argentinos Juniors 1.08. The Primera División average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Rivadavia's matches and 42% of Argentinos Juniors's.
What form are Independiente Rivadavia and Argentinos Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Rivadavia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Argentinos Juniors 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.