Independiente vs Lanús: match statistics
Lanús presents clearly better form than Independiente, confirmed by a record of 3 victories in the last 5 matches and a higher points-per-match coefficient (2.2 vs 1.8). The hosts have not won any match at home this season, recording 100% draws, which indicates difficulties in breaking down rivals at their own stadium. Lanús possesses significantly better offensive efficiency in away matches – averaging 2.5 goals per match and 20% shot conversion, while Independiente scores an average of only 1 goal at home. Additionally, the visitors have an advantage in shots on target (7 vs 3.5) and slightly higher xG values (1.65 vs 1.39), suggesting higher quality of created chances. Given Lanús's solid unbeaten run and the hosts' problems winning home games, I expect a victory for the guests or a potential draw, with a slight edge for the away team.
Independiente vs Lanús: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente play Lanús in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lanús: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Lanús scores 1.06 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente 71%, Lanús 35%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, Lanús 35%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.36. Independiente: 12.7 shots per match, Lanús: 11.5.
Match halves
Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Lanús: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Lanús: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Lanús presents clearly better form than Independiente, confirmed by a record of 3 victories in the last 5 matches and a higher points-per-match coefficient (2.2 vs 1.8). The hosts have not won any match at home this season, recording 100% draws, which indicates difficulties in breaking down rivals at their own stadium. Lanús possesses significantly better offensive efficiency in away matches – averaging 2.5 goals per match and 20% shot conversion, while Independiente scores an average of only 1 goal at home. Additionally, the visitors have an advantage in shots on target (7 vs 3.5) and slightly higher xG values (1.65 vs 1.39), suggesting higher quality of created chances. Given Lanús's solid unbeaten run and the hosts' problems winning home games, I expect a victory for the guests or a potential draw, with a slight edge for the away team.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Lanús | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 1 pts / match - Lanús
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Independiente · 1.06 goals / match - Lanús
Lanús is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 1 goals / match - Lanús
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Lanús keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Lanús scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente
Over / Under — Lanús
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 1.18 pts / match - Lanús
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lanús - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente
Lanús
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Lanús | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.08 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Independiente 0 - 2 - 1 Lanús. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Lanús?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 2:0 Lanús. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and Lanús?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente won 0, Lanús won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Lanús?
Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and Lanús 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 35% of Lanús's.
What form are Independiente and Lanús in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lanús 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Lanús?
The statistical background for Independiente vs Lanús — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.