Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys: match statistics
Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente played Newell's Old Boys in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 31 July 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Newell's Old Boys: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Newell's Old Boys scores 0.94 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente 71%, Newell's Old Boys 56%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, Newell's Old Boys 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.29. Independiente: 12.7 shots per match, Newell's Old Boys: 10.5.
Match halves
Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Newell's Old Boys: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Newell's Old Boys: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente is the favorite due to a clear home-statistical advantage: they average 1.88 goals at home with 15.25 shots and 4.75 on target, whereas Newell's away averages only 1.13 goals with 8.25 shots and 3.13 on target. The quality gap is confirmed by xG – 1.64 for Independiente at home versus 1.08 for Newell's away, indicating more high-quality chances for the hosts. Defensively, the hosts concede 1.13 goals per home match and keep 38% clean sheets, while the visitors concede 2.13 goals away and have 0% clean sheets, so the risk of Newell's conceding is significant. Both teams average 1.8 points over the last 5 matches, but Independiente has won 3 of those 5 fixtures, whereas Newell's have 2 wins and 3 draws, indicating the visitors are less effective at breaking down opponents. Given the advantage in chance creation (15.25 vs 8.25 shots), superior xG (1.64 vs 1.08) and a better goal balance (+6 at home vs -8 away for the visitors), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal stats and form favor BTTS: Newell's Old Boys has BTTS at 63% for the season and 60% in the last 5 matches, while Independiente has 44% for the season and 40% in the last 5, giving the signal advantage to the visitors. Independiente generates xG 1.48 and averages 12.56 shots (3.67 on target), and Newell concedes xG_against 1.78 and a seasonal average of 2.13 goals conceded, so the home side should create quality chances and score. Newell has xG_for 1.08 and a seasonal goals average of 1.13, while Independiente concedes 1.11 goals per match, so the 1.13 vs 1.11 comparison suggests the visitors also have realistic scoring chances. In the last 5 matches Independiente have scored 7 and conceded 6, and Newell have scored 6 and conceded 4; additionally Newell have no away clean sheets (0%) versus Independiente's 33% home clean sheets, which further increases the probability of both teams scoring. In summary: high BTTS level at Newell (63%), high xG against (1.78) and similar goals averages 1.13 vs 1.11 lead to a 65% assessment for "yes" and 35% for "no", hence a recommendation: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimating xG for this match yields 1.48 xG for Independiente and 1.08 xG for Newell's; after adjusting for opponent xG conceded (Newell's concedes xG 1.78, Independiente 1.34) this gives expected goals of 1.63 for the home side and 1.21 for the visitors, total 2.84. Season metrics show 67% of Independiente’s matches and 100% of Newell's matches finished over 1.5 goals, while over 0.5 occurred in 89% and 100% of cases respectively, strongly supporting Over 1.5. The stylistic difference appears in shot volume and conversion: Independiente averages 12.56 shots with a 6% conversion rate, Newell's 8.25 shots with a 14% conversion, so the visitors are more efficient at turning chances into goals. Given the expected total of 2.84 and season over 2.5 rates of 11%/63% (for home and away respectively), Over 2.5 holds only a moderate edge (~54%), whereas the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (~78%), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Independiente has a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 1.48 versus Newell's 1.08 and an average of 12.56 shots per match versus 8.25, suggesting more scoring opportunities for the home side. However, halftime statistics favor a draw — the hosts were level at the break in 67% of matches this season, and the average goals by halftime are 0.44 for the home team versus 1.25 for the visitors, so the first half should be balanced. In the last 5 matches Independiente has improved its starts: it led at the break in 2 of 5 games (40%) and averaged 0.8 goals before halftime, while Newell's led in only 1 of 5 (20%), which increases the hosts' chances after the break. Additionally, the home side performs better in second half play — averaging 1.44 goals and 1.56 points per match in second halves versus Newell's 0.75 points — which supports a turnaround after the break. On this basis the most probable scenario is a draw at halftime and an Independiente victory at full-time (X/1) — taking into account 67% halftime draws and the xG advantage of 1.48–1.08 plus the 12.56–8.25 shots, X/1 appears the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Newell's Old Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newell's Old Boys is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 1.8 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Independiente · 0.94 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys
Independiente is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 1.69 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Newell's Old Boys keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Newell's Old Boys scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente
Over / Under — Newell's Old Boys
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 1.06 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Newell's Old Boys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Newell's Old Boys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente 1 - 1 - 0 Newell's Old Boys. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 1:0 Newell's Old Boys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and Newell's Old Boys?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1, Newell's Old Boys won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?
Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and Newell's Old Boys 0.94. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 56% of Newell's Old Boys's.
What form are Independiente and Newell's Old Boys in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Newell's Old Boys 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.