Independiente vs Racing Club: match statistics
Independiente vs Racing Club: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente play Racing Club in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Racing Club: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Racing Club scores 1.06 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente 71%, Racing Club 50%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, Racing Club 39%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.37. Independiente: 12.7 shots per match, Racing Club: 11.9.
Match halves
Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Racing Club: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). Racing Club: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-2-1. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.
Match description
I back the away win (Racing): Racing have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.6 points over that span, scoring 8 and conceding only 1. Independiente create more chances at home — on average 16.67 shots and 4.83 shots on target per match versus Racing’s 9.86 shots and 3.71 on target away — and have a higher xG (1.71 vs 1.21) and average 1.83 goals scored per home game. However, the hosts’ defensive weaknesses are evident: Independiente concede 1.33 goals per home match and have shipped 10 goals in their last 5 home games, with only a 33% clean sheet rate. Racing, by contrast, defend better on the road — conceding 0.86 goals on average and keeping 57% clean sheets, despite an xGA of 1.26, which indicates good organization and effective prevention of high-quality chances. Considering the clear form advantage of the visitors and their defensive stability against a more erratic home side, I favour an away victory for Racing.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 1.2 pts / match - Racing Club
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Independiente · 1.06 goals / match - Racing Club
Racing Club is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 0.94 goals / match - Racing Club
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Racing Club keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Racing Club scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Independiente
Over / Under — Racing Club
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing Club is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 1.39 pts / match - Racing Club
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Racing Club - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente
Racing Club
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.08 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Independiente 1 - 2 - 1 Racing Club. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs Racing Club?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 1:0 Racing Club. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and Racing Club?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1, Racing Club won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs Racing Club?
Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and Racing Club 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 50% of Racing Club's.
What form are Independiente and Racing Club in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Racing Club 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs Racing Club?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.