Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX: match statistics
Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Indy Eleven played Sporting JAX in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Indy Eleven: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Sporting JAX: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Indy Eleven scores 1.43 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Sporting JAX scores 0.63 and concedes 2.25. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Indy Eleven 71%, Sporting JAX 38%. Over 2.5: Indy Eleven 57%, Sporting JAX 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Indy Eleven has higher xG: 1.53 vs 0.92. Indy Eleven: 12.9 shots per match, Sporting JAX: 7.6.
Match halves
Indy Eleven: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Sporting JAX: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Indy Eleven: 61-75 (4 goals). Sporting JAX: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win: Indy Eleven averages 2.0 goals per home game (10 home goals this season) versus Sporting JAX, who score only 0.6 goals away (5 goals this season and 0 goals in their last 5 matches). The hosts average 13.67 shots and 6.33 on target per home match, while the visitors register only 5 shots and 2.2 on target away, indicating a clear superiority in chance volume and quality. In xG terms Indy produces 1.66 xG per home game versus 0.73 xG for Sporting JAX on the road; additionally, the visitors concede 2.0 goals on average away, compared to Indy’s 1.0 conceded at home. Sporting JAX have no away wins (0 wins, 80% losses) and 60% of away matches without scoring, whereas Indy have 0% home matches without a goal and a positive home goal difference (+3). Considering the advantage in shots, xG and efficiency (15% conversion for the hosts vs 12% for the visitors) and the opponents’ poor away form, the highest probability is assigned to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Indy Eleven averages 0.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match this season, while Sporting JAX averages 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded; in the last 5 matches Indy had BTTS in 80% (4/5), whereas Sporting had 0% (0/5). Indy generates xG 1.24 and 12.0 shots (3.0 on target) with a conversion rate of 6%, while Sporting has xG 0.73, 5.0 shots (2.2 on target) and a 12% conversion — however their low shot volume limits their scoring chances. Over the last 5 matches Indy averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and Sporting scored 0.0 and conceded 1.6 on average, a strong signal of Sporting’s lack of offensive output. Additionally, 56% of league matches finish with a clean sheet for one side, and seasonal BTTS for Indy and Sporting are only 33% and 40%, so league and seasonal metrics also argue against BTTS. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes at 30% and No Goal at 70%, and I back No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of 2.78 goals in the match: Indy Eleven 1.58 and Sporting JAX 1.20. Calculation is based on xG: for Indy (xG_for 1.24 + xG_against_away 1.91)/2 ≈ 1.58, for Sporting (xG_for 0.73 + xG_against_home 1.66)/2 ≈ 1.20. The 2.78 total is slightly above the league average of 2.72 and aligns with seasonal over indicators — Indy records Over 2.5 goals in 67% of matches, Sporting in 40%. Indy averages 12 shots (3.0 on target) with a 6% conversion rate; Sporting only 5 shots (2.2 on target) with a 12% conversion rate, and Sporting has scored 0 goals in the last 5 matches (last 5: 'lllll'), which limits their realistic scoring chances. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (P≈77%), Over 2.5 is moderate (P≈53%) — I recommend betting on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/2 (home team leads at half-time but loses after full-time). Indy Eleven creates more chances: xG 1.24 vs 0.73 and 12 shots vs 5, with the home-side average goals at the break 0.67 versus Sporting JAX’s 0.0 (Indy led at the break in 33% of season matches, and 40% in the last 5). However, after the break the home team concedes an average of 2.0 goals, has 0 points from second halves and in 100% of their matches the second half had >0.5 goals, while the visitors score on average 0.6 goals after the break and have 5 points in second halves. Additionally, the visitors have a higher conversion rate (12% vs 6%), which increases the chance of a turnaround despite creating fewer chances. Therefore I assign 30% to 1/2 as the strongest signal, with smaller stakes for 1/1 (15%) and X/X (18%) as alternative scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Indy Eleven | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Indy Eleven is 127% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Indy Eleven · 0.63 goals / match - Sporting JAX
Indy Eleven is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Indy Eleven · 2.25 goals / match - Sporting JAX
Indy Eleven scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Sporting JAX keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Sporting JAX scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
Over / Under - Sporting JAX
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Indy Eleven is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Indy Eleven · 0.75 pts / match - Sporting JAX
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting JAX - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Indy Eleven
Sporting JAX
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Indy Eleven | Liga | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
The USL Championship match finished Indy Eleven 2:1 Sporting JAX. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
Indy Eleven score 1.43 goals per game on average and Sporting JAX 0.63. The USL Championship average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Indy Eleven's matches and 38% of Sporting JAX's.
What form are Indy Eleven and Sporting JAX in?
Over the last 5 games Indy Eleven have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sporting JAX 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.