Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be an extremely tight affair. Ingolstadt are in excellent form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive tally of 14 goals scored with only 5 conceded. The hosts boast a solid home record with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium. Meanwhile, Energie Cottbus, the league leaders, can boast a 50% away win rate and the best overall record in the league (13 wins). However, the visitors' recent form is somewhat concerning – only 1.6 points per match in their last five games and eight goals conceded during that period. A key factor is the similar attacking efficiency of both teams (1.7 goals on average each) as well as comparable ball possession stats (49%). Considering the hosts' excellent form and the fact that the leaders struggle to keep clean sheets away from home, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this encounter.
Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt played Energie Cottbus in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Energie Cottbus: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.82 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Energie Cottbus scores 2.18 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 77%, Energie Cottbus 77%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 73%, Energie Cottbus 82%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Energie Cottbus has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.69. Ingolstadt: 14.1 shots per match, Energie Cottbus: 13.6.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.05. Energie Cottbus: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.23.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (11 goals). Energie Cottbus: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be an extremely tight affair. Ingolstadt are in excellent form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive tally of 14 goals scored with only 5 conceded. The hosts boast a solid home record with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium. Meanwhile, Energie Cottbus, the league leaders, can boast a 50% away win rate and the best overall record in the league (13 wins). However, the visitors' recent form is somewhat concerning – only 1.6 points per match in their last five games and eight goals conceded during that period. A key factor is the similar attacking efficiency of both teams (1.7 goals on average each) as well as comparable ball possession stats (49%). Considering the hosts' excellent form and the fact that the leaders struggle to keep clean sheets away from home, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.6 pts / match - Energie Cottbus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Energie Cottbus is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 2.18 goals / match - Energie Cottbus
Ingolstadt is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.64 goals / match - Energie Cottbus
Ingolstadt scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Energie Cottbus keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Energie Cottbus scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ingolstadt
Over / Under - Energie Cottbus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Energie Cottbus is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.77 pts / match - Energie Cottbus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Energie Cottbus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Energie Cottbus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 62% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 63% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 0 - 1 - 0 Energie Cottbus. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 0:0 Energie Cottbus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus?
Ingolstadt score 1.82 goals per game on average and Energie Cottbus 2.18. The 3. Liga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Ingolstadt's matches and 77% of Energie Cottbus's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Energie Cottbus in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Energie Cottbus 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.