Ingolstadt vs Havelse: match statistics
Ingolstadt are displaying significantly better form, particularly in home matches where they achieve a 36% win rate and only 27% losses. The hosts are in excellent condition, averaging 2.2 points per match in their last five games with a run of three wins and two draws. Havelse are in 19th place in the table with a disastrous away record – just 9% wins and as many as 64% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2.27 goals per match. Furthermore, the visitors have a negative goal difference of -11 in away matches, while Ingolstadt can boast a positive +3 at home. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.82 vs 1.63), which, combined with the form advantage and home efficiency, makes Ingolstadt the clear favorite for this encounter.
Ingolstadt vs Havelse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt played Havelse in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Havelse: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.71 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Havelse scores 1.38 and concedes 2.17. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 75%, Havelse 75%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 67%, Havelse 63%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Ingolstadt has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.54. Ingolstadt: 14.0 shots per match, Havelse: 13.3.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Havelse: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (11 goals). Havelse: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ingolstadt are displaying significantly better form, particularly in home matches where they achieve a 36% win rate and only 27% losses. The hosts are in excellent condition, averaging 2.2 points per match in their last five games with a run of three wins and two draws. Havelse are in 19th place in the table with a disastrous away record – just 9% wins and as many as 64% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2.27 goals per match. Furthermore, the visitors have a negative goal difference of -11 in away matches, while Ingolstadt can boast a positive +3 at home. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.82 vs 1.63), which, combined with the form advantage and home efficiency, makes Ingolstadt the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.2 pts / match - Havelse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.38 goals / match - Havelse
Ingolstadt is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 2.17 goals / match - Havelse
Ingolstadt scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Havelse keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
Havelse scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ingolstadt
Over / Under - Havelse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 0.92 pts / match - Havelse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Havelse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Havelse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.04 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 83% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 1 - 0 - 0 Havelse. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Havelse?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 3:2 Havelse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Havelse?
Ingolstadt score 1.71 goals per game on average and Havelse 1.38. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Ingolstadt's matches and 75% of Havelse's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Havelse in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Havelse 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Havelse?
The statistical background for Ingolstadt vs Havelse — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.