Germany - 3. LigaAudi-SportparkData current as of 17 October 2026

Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ingolstadt play Rot-Weiss Essen in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Audi-Sportpark.

Current form

Ingolstadt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rot-Weiss Essen: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ingolstadt scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Rot-Weiss Essen scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ingolstadt 44%, Rot-Weiss Essen 56%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 67%, Rot-Weiss Essen 44%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.51. Ingolstadt: 12.6 shots per match, Rot-Weiss Essen: 15.1.

Match halves

Ingolstadt: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67. Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.22.

Goals by minute

Ingolstadt: 16-30 (3 goals). Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.40 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.95)
(3.80)
(2.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
1.33Goals scored / match2
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
1.67Goals conceded / match1.33
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
45%Average possession53%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
4.44Shots on target / match5.11
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.56Shots per match15.11
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
4.44Shots on target5.11
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
10.6%Shot conversion13.2%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
45%Possession53%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
1.51xG for1.72
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
1.61xG against1.24
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

Shooting quality

Ingolstadt: BalancedRot-Weiss Essen: Attacking
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rot-Weiss Essen is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 2.2 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen

Ingolstadt
WLLLW
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Rot-Weiss Essen
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
LDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rot-Weiss Essen is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 2 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen

Rot-Weiss Essen is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.33 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen

Ingolstadt scoring profile: strong

Ingolstadt scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

Rot-Weiss Essen scoring profile: very strong

Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

12Goals scored (season)18
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
15Goals conceded (season)12
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
3Average goals in match3.33
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
7Goals scored (last 5)14
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
44%2 goals56%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
11%3 goals22%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
0%4 goals11%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal56%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
56%2 goals33%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
33%3 goals22%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
11%4 goals11%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time11%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
0%BTTS in both halves0%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
11%Scored in both halves22%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
40%BTTS - last 580%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rot-Weiss Essen is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.56 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen

Ingolstadt - half-time state
22% leading67% draw11% trailing
Rot-Weiss Essen - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.56
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.78
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.22
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
56%Clean sheet before half-time78%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
44%No goal before half-time56%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)2
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.22
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
1.56Average goals (2nd half)2.11
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
67%Clean sheet after half-time44%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen
67%No goal after half-time33%
IngolstadtRot-Weiss Essen

Ingolstadt - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results

56% W33% D11% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ingolstadt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.6
Average goals in match0.62.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Rot-Weiss Essen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.60
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.23.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ingolstadt
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Rot-Weiss Essen
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ingolstadt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Rot-Weiss Essen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

IngolstadtLigaRot-Weiss Essen
Average goals in match▼ 3.003.40• 3.33
Both teams scored▼ 44%63%▼ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 67%67%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 33%20%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▼ 56%80%▼ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.40
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.70
Away goals / match
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ingolstadt 0 - 0 - 2 Rot-Weiss Essen. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Rot-Weiss Essen
4 : 1
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Ingolstadt 04
1 : 2
Rot-Weiss Essen

FAQ

When do Ingolstadt and Rot-Weiss Essen play?

Ingolstadt face Rot-Weiss Essen on 17 October 2026 in 3. Liga at Audi-Sportpark. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ingolstadt and Rot-Weiss Essen?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 0, Rot-Weiss Essen won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Ingolstadt score 1.33 goals per game on average and Rot-Weiss Essen 2.00. The 3. Liga average is 3.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ingolstadt's matches and 56% of Rot-Weiss Essen's.

What form are Ingolstadt and Rot-Weiss Essen in?

Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rot-Weiss Essen 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

The statistical background for Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.