Ingolstadt vs Stuttgart II: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very balanced meeting between Ingolstadt and Stuttgart II. The hosts occupy 13th place in the table and have a record of 33% wins, draws, and losses at home, with an average of 1.67 goals per match. Stuttgart II ranks higher in 11th position and has a better away record (40% wins), however, they score fewer goals away (average 1.4 goals). A key factor is Stuttgart II's advantage in possession (58% vs 50%) and a better xG coefficient (1.58 vs 1.97 for the hosts in home matches), suggesting quality in created situations. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Ingolstadt 1.6 PPG, Stuttgart II 1.4 PPG), and both squads have an identical shot conversion rate (10%). Taking into account the balanced disposition, the slight advantage of the hosts resulting from playing at home, and the solidity of Stuttgart II away, the most likely scenario is a draw, although I assign slightly higher chances to the hosts due to better form in recent meetings (2 wins in the last 5 matches).
Ingolstadt vs Stuttgart II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt play Stuttgart II in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stuttgart II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.71 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Stuttgart II scores 1.50 and concedes 1.82. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 74%, Stuttgart II 71%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 71%, Stuttgart II 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Stuttgart II has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.57. Ingolstadt: 13.2 shots per match, Stuttgart II: 13.5.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.97. Stuttgart II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (15 goals). Stuttgart II: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a very balanced meeting between Ingolstadt and Stuttgart II. The hosts occupy 13th place in the table and have a record of 33% wins, draws, and losses at home, with an average of 1.67 goals per match. Stuttgart II ranks higher in 11th position and has a better away record (40% wins), however, they score fewer goals away (average 1.4 goals). A key factor is Stuttgart II's advantage in possession (58% vs 50%) and a better xG coefficient (1.58 vs 1.97 for the hosts in home matches), suggesting quality in created situations. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Ingolstadt 1.6 PPG, Stuttgart II 1.4 PPG), and both squads have an identical shot conversion rate (10%). Taking into account the balanced disposition, the slight advantage of the hosts resulting from playing at home, and the solidity of Stuttgart II away, the most likely scenario is a draw, although I assign slightly higher chances to the hosts due to better form in recent meetings (2 wins in the last 5 matches).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Stuttgart II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 0.8 pts / match - Stuttgart II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.5 goals / match - Stuttgart II
Ingolstadt is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.82 goals / match - Stuttgart II
Ingolstadt scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Stuttgart II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
Stuttgart II scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ingolstadt
Over / Under — Stuttgart II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.26 pts / match - Stuttgart II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stuttgart II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Stuttgart II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Stuttgart II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 83% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 0 - 0 - 1 Stuttgart II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Stuttgart II?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 2:1 Stuttgart II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Stuttgart II?
Ingolstadt score 1.71 goals per game on average and Stuttgart II 1.50. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's matches and 71% of Stuttgart II's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Stuttgart II in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stuttgart II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Stuttgart II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.