Ingolstadt vs Verl: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which suggests a draw as the most likely outcome. Ingolstadt displays solid home form with 38% wins and only 23% losses at home, averaging 1.54 goals per match with a possession rate of 50%. Verl, despite their higher position in the table, struggles in away matches - conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game and winning only 36% of their away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is poor (Ingolstadt 1.2 PPG, Verl 0.8 PPG in their last 5 matches), which further supports a draw. A key factor is the identical goal difference (+4) of both teams in their matches, which confirms the balanced nature of this encounter. The high percentage of draws for Ingolstadt at home (38%) and Verl away (36%) further supports this prediction.
Ingolstadt vs Verl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ingolstadt played Verl in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ingolstadt: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Verl: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ingolstadt scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Verl scores 2.26 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ingolstadt 74%, Verl 78%. Over 2.5: Ingolstadt 67%, Verl 78%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Verl has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.65. Ingolstadt: 14.0 shots per match, Verl: 15.2.
Match halves
Ingolstadt: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.04. Verl: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (13 goals). Verl: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which suggests a draw as the most likely outcome. Ingolstadt displays solid home form with 38% wins and only 23% losses at home, averaging 1.54 goals per match with a possession rate of 50%. Verl, despite their higher position in the table, struggles in away matches - conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game and winning only 36% of their away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is poor (Ingolstadt 1.2 PPG, Verl 0.8 PPG in their last 5 matches), which further supports a draw. A key factor is the identical goal difference (+4) of both teams in their matches, which confirms the balanced nature of this encounter. The high percentage of draws for Ingolstadt at home (38%) and Verl away (36%) further supports this prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ingolstadt | Verl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 0.8 pts / match - Verl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Verl is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 2.26 goals / match - Verl
Ingolstadt is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Ingolstadt · 1.48 goals / match - Verl
Ingolstadt scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Verl keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Verl scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ingolstadt
Over / Under - Verl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Verl is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Ingolstadt · 1.59 pts / match - Verl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Verl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ingolstadt
Verl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ingolstadt | Liga | Verl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ingolstadt 0 - 1 - 0 Verl. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ingolstadt vs Verl?
The 3. Liga match finished Ingolstadt 1:2 Verl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ingolstadt vs Verl?
Ingolstadt score 1.67 goals per game on average and Verl 2.26. The 3. Liga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ingolstadt's matches and 78% of Verl's.
What form are Ingolstadt and Verl in?
Over the last 5 games Ingolstadt have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Verl 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ingolstadt vs Verl?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.