Ingolstadt vs Würzburger Kickers: match statistics

Würzburger Kickers are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last five matches, drawn once and remain unbeaten. During this period, the visitors scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 per match, while conceding just 3, compared with Ingolstadt’s 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. The hosts began their run with three consecutive wins, but their two most recent defeats point to declining stability. The points-per-match average over the last five games stands at 2.6 for Würzburg versus 1.8 for Ingolstadt, and, combined with the visitors’ significantly greater attacking efficiency, this strongly favors an away win. Ingolstadt’s 7th-place position gives the hosts a home advantage argument, but the current trend and Würzburger Kickers’ +9 goal difference compared with their opponents’ +1 are stronger indicators.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Ingolstadt saw both teams score in only 20% of their last 5 matches. The hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored during this period, while Würzburger Kickers conceded just 0.6 goals per match and allowed their opponents only 3 goals across five appearances. The visitors are in excellent attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals scored and recording 12 goals in their last 5 matches, so they are likely to find the net. At the same time, Ingolstadt’s recent run includes 6 goals scored and 5 conceded, while their BTTS rate is clearly lower than Würzburg’s 60%, increasing the likelihood of a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The available data from the last five matches points to 2.2 goals per game for Ingolstadt (6 scored and 5 conceded) and 3.0 goals in Würzburger Kickers matches (12 scored and 3 conceded). However, the visitors are very solid defensively, conceding only 0.6 goals per match, while Ingolstadt averages 1.2 goals scored. In the hosts’ last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals line landed only once, in 20% of cases, and both teams scored in just 20% of matches. For the visitors, Over 2.5 occurred in 60% of matches, but their run of four wins and one draw, with only 3 goals conceded, suggests they may limit the opponent’s openness. The strongest pick is Under 3.5, as even with Würzburg’s strong attacking potential, the projected 2.60 goals leaves a clear margin below four goals.

The available data from the last five matches clearly favour Würzburger Kickers: the visitors have averaged 2.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, compared with Ingolstadt’s figures of 1.2 and 1.0, respectively. Würzburg remain unbeaten over this period, winning 80% of their matches and drawing 20%, while Ingolstadt have lost 40% of theirs. At half-time, the visitors have not trailed on any occasion, leading in 50% of cases and drawing in the remaining 50%, whereas the hosts were behind at the break in 50% of their matches. The prospect of a draw at half-time is supported by both teams’ low average of one goal before the interval; however, after the break, Würzburg average 2.0 goals compared with Ingolstadt’s 0.75. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore a draw at half-time followed by an away win.