İnter Bakı vs Araz: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, which favors a draw. İnter Bakı shows poor home form with only a 25% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-5); however, in their last five matches overall, they are showing signs of stabilization with 1.2 points per game. Araz boasts better offensive statistics (averaging 1.5 goals away) and a possession advantage (51%), but simultaneously has serious defensive issues, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match. A key factor is that both teams have an identical 42% loss rate in their matches as well as similar xG indicators, suggesting a balanced level. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and the visitors' defensive problems on the road, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
İnter Bakı vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İnter Bakı played Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
İnter Bakı: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Araz: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
İnter Bakı scores 1.00 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Araz scores 1.42 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İnter Bakı 46%, Araz 58%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 46%, Araz 58%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Araz has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.06. İnter Bakı: 8.1 shots per match, Araz: 9.5.
Match halves
İnter Bakı: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.54. Araz: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
İnter Bakı: 61-75 (5 goals). Araz: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, which favors a draw. İnter Bakı shows poor home form with only a 25% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-5); however, in their last five matches overall, they are showing signs of stabilization with 1.2 points per game. Araz boasts better offensive statistics (averaging 1.5 goals away) and a possession advantage (51%), but simultaneously has serious defensive issues, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match. A key factor is that both teams have an identical 42% loss rate in their matches as well as similar xG indicators, suggesting a balanced level. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and the visitors' defensive problems on the road, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Araz is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 1.8 pts / match - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.42 goals / match - Araz
İnter Bakı is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.75 goals / match - Araz
İnter Bakı scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Araz scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Araz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 1.42 pts / match - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İnter Bakı
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.52 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): İnter Bakı 0 - 1 - 1 Araz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 0:1 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between İnter Bakı and Araz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches İnter Bakı won 0, Araz won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Araz?
İnter Bakı score 1.00 goals per game on average and Araz 1.42. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 46% of İnter Bakı's matches and 58% of Araz's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Araz 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Araz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for İnter Bakı vs Araz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.