İnter Bakı vs Kapaz: match statistics
İnter Bakı vs Kapaz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İnter Bakı played Kapaz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
İnter Bakı: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kapaz: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
İnter Bakı scores 0.89 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Kapaz scores 0.79 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İnter Bakı 43%, Kapaz 32%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 39%, Kapaz 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Kapaz has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.05. İnter Bakı: 8.1 shots per match, Kapaz: 9.9.
Match halves
İnter Bakı: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.50. Kapaz: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
İnter Bakı: 76-90+ (6 goals). Kapaz: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a home win (1): İnter Bakı has a clearly superior defense compared to Kapaz — the visitors have conceded 55 goals this season (avg. 2.21 away), while İnter concedes 1.36 goals per home match. This season İnter has scored 25 goals versus Kapaz’s 22, and Kapaz’s away goal differential is −19 compared to İnter’s −6 at home, indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. Offensively both teams are inefficient: İnter scores 0.93 goals per home match, Kapaz 0.86 away, yet İnter shows better accuracy (2.79 shots on target per match) and higher conversion (12% vs 9%). xG data indicate similar chance creation (İnter home xG 1.01 vs Kapaz away xG 1.10), but Kapaz concedes significantly more expected goals on the road (xG against 1.69 vs İnter’s 1.30 at home). Considering the hosts’ more solid defense, a higher clean sheet rate at home (36% vs 14%) and the fact Kapaz fail to register a shot on target in 57% of away matches, I assign a 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have low BTTS rates: season BTTS is 29% for İnter Bakı and 36% for Kapaz, and in the last 5 matches 20% and 40% respectively, which is below the league average of 44%. Average goals per match are only 0.71 (İnter) and 0.86 (Kapaz), with xG 1.24 and 1.10, meaning teams create chances but finish poorly (shot conversion 7% and 9%). Kapaz concedes on average 2.21 goals per match (55 conceded), and İnter 1.71 (29 conceded); in the last 5 matches İnter scored 2 and conceded 3, and Kapaz scored 3 and conceded 8, showing low attacking productivity for both sides. Additionally, 65% of league matches end with a clean sheet for one of the teams, which together with the low seasonal BTTS rates leads me to the scenario that both teams will not score; therefore I assign 70% to "No" (BTTS - No) and 30% to "Yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are estimated at ~1.47 for İnter Bakı (xG_for 1.24 and opponents' xG_against 1.69 → (1.24+1.69)/2 ≈ 1.47) and ~1.42 for Kapaz (xG_for 1.10 and hosts' xG_against 1.74 → (1.10+1.74)/2 = 1.42); total ≈ 2.89. Actual season goals are lower (hosts 0.71, away 0.86), but both teams concede heavily (İnter Bakı 1.71, Kapaz 2.21), which increases the likelihood of a multi-goal game. Season percentages show 79% of matches involving both teams finished over 1.5 goals; additionally Kapaz had 64% of games over 2.5 (versus İnter Bakı’s 36%), which together with xG 2.89 supports the over market. Based on this the safest line is Over 1.5 (I estimate ~80%), Over 2.5 has a moderate chance (~58%), and Over 3.5 is less likely (~30%), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win by full-time (X/1). Hosts were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80% in the last 5), and seasonally the half-time draw occurs for the home side in 36% and for the away side in 29% of matches, favouring a tie at the 45-minute mark. Inter Bakı holds an xG advantage (1.24 versus the away side’s 1.10) and more on-target shots (3.36 vs 2.29), which increases their chances of scoring after the break. Additionally, the visitors concede on average 2.21 goals per match versus 1.71 for the hosts, and in the last 5 matches the home side has earned an average of 1.2 points in second halves compared with 0.6 points for the away side, so I expect the half-time draw to be overturned in favour of Inter Bakı.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İnter Bakı is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 0.8 pts / match - Kapaz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İnter Bakı is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 0.79 goals / match - Kapaz
İnter Bakı is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.96 goals / match - Kapaz
İnter Bakı scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Kapaz scores in 46% of matches (13 of 28 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Kapaz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İnter Bakı is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 0.75 pts / match - Kapaz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İnter Bakı
Kapaz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.93 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 43% | 44% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 33% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): İnter Bakı 1 - 0 - 1 Kapaz. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Kapaz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 2:0 Kapaz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between İnter Bakı and Kapaz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches İnter Bakı won 1, Kapaz won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Kapaz?
İnter Bakı score 0.89 goals per game on average and Kapaz 0.79. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of İnter Bakı's matches and 32% of Kapaz's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Kapaz in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kapaz 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Kapaz?
The statistical background for İnter Bakı vs Kapaz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.