İnter Bakı vs Neftçi: match statistics
Neftçi displays significantly better form than İnter Bakı, confirmed by a streak of four wins in the last five matches and an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team also stands out with much better away statistics—50% win rate, 50% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+7), while the hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals per home match and hold a negative balance (-5). Neftçi's advantage in possession (52% vs 43%), shots on target (5.7 vs 2.9), and expected goals (1.66 xG vs 1.02 xG) indicates clear qualitative dominance. İnter Bakı loses half of their home matches and sits only 8th in the table, further weakening their chances. All key indicators favor a victory for Neftçi, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out given the 30% draw rate in the visitors' away matches.
İnter Bakı vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İnter Bakı played Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
İnter Bakı: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Neftçi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
İnter Bakı scores 1.00 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Neftçi scores 1.40 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İnter Bakı 48%, Neftçi 40%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 48%, Neftçi 40%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.05. İnter Bakı: 8.1 shots per match, Neftçi: 13.3.
Match halves
İnter Bakı: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Neftçi: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
İnter Bakı: 61-75 (5 goals). Neftçi: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi displays significantly better form than İnter Bakı, confirmed by a streak of four wins in the last five matches and an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team also stands out with much better away statistics—50% win rate, 50% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+7), while the hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals per home match and hold a negative balance (-5). Neftçi's advantage in possession (52% vs 43%), shots on target (5.7 vs 2.9), and expected goals (1.66 xG vs 1.02 xG) indicates clear qualitative dominance. İnter Bakı loses half of their home matches and sits only 8th in the table, further weakening their chances. All key indicators favor a victory for Neftçi, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out given the 30% draw rate in the visitors' away matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 2.6 pts / match - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.4 goals / match - Neftçi
Neftçi is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 0.9 goals / match - Neftçi
İnter Bakı scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Neftçi scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 1.35 pts / match - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İnter Bakı
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: İnter Bakı 0 - 1 - 0 Neftçi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 2:2 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Neftçi?
İnter Bakı score 1.00 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.40. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of İnter Bakı's matches and 40% of Neftçi's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Neftçi 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Neftçi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for İnter Bakı vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.