İnter Bakı vs Qabala: match statistics
İnter Bakı presents solid home form with a 43% win rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, indicating defensive stability. In their last five matches overall, the hosts earned 1.8 points per match and scored 7 goals, showing offensive improvement. Qabala, meanwhile, has not won any away match this season (0% success rate), conceding an average of 1.38 goals per match and presenting very poor shooting efficiency (6% shot conversion). The guests failed to score in 63% of away matches, which, combined with a negative goal difference of -7 on the road, makes them a clear outsider. Although İnter Bakı is not in peak form, the home advantage and Qabala's dismal streak on the road give the hosts a real chance of securing three points.
İnter Bakı vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İnter Bakı played Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
İnter Bakı: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Qabala: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
İnter Bakı scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Qabala scores 0.73 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İnter Bakı 56%, Qabala 40%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 50%, Qabala 40%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Qabala has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.03. İnter Bakı: 8.1 shots per match, Qabala: 9.2.
Match halves
İnter Bakı: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Qabala: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
İnter Bakı: 61-75 (5 goals). Qabala: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
İnter Bakı presents solid home form with a 43% win rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, indicating defensive stability. In their last five matches overall, the hosts earned 1.8 points per match and scored 7 goals, showing offensive improvement. Qabala, meanwhile, has not won any away match this season (0% success rate), conceding an average of 1.38 goals per match and presenting very poor shooting efficiency (6% shot conversion). The guests failed to score in 63% of away matches, which, combined with a negative goal difference of -7 on the road, makes them a clear outsider. Although İnter Bakı is not in peak form, the home advantage and Qabala's dismal streak on the road give the hosts a real chance of securing three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İnter Bakı is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 0.6 pts / match - Qabala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İnter Bakı is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 0.73 goals / match - Qabala
İnter Bakı is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.4 goals / match - Qabala
İnter Bakı scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
Qabala scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Qabala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İnter Bakı is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 0.87 pts / match - Qabala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İnter Bakı
Qabala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: İnter Bakı 1 - 0 - 0 Qabala. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Qabala?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 0:4 Qabala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Qabala?
İnter Bakı score 1.13 goals per game on average and Qabala 0.73. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of İnter Bakı's matches and 40% of Qabala's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Qabala in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Qabala 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Qabala?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


