İnter Bakı vs Qarabağ: match statistics
Qarabağ clearly dominates this clash in terms of all key statistics. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season, while İnter Bakı ranks 8th with just 6 victories. Qarabağ holds a decisive advantage in away matches – 71% wins, averaging 2.43 goals per match, and only 14% losses. Their 62% possession and high xG (1.87) confirm offensive dominance. İnter Bakı has a negative goal difference at home (-4), 50% losses in home matches, and struggles to keep a clean sheet. Although Qarabağ's last 5 matches show some fluctuations in form, their quality and experience should prevail in this duel.
İnter Bakı vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İnter Bakı played Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
İnter Bakı: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
İnter Bakı scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 1.83 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İnter Bakı 50%, Qarabağ 39%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 50%, Qarabağ 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.09. İnter Bakı: 8.5 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.5.
Match halves
İnter Bakı: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. Qarabağ: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
İnter Bakı: 61-75 (5 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ clearly dominates this clash in terms of all key statistics. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season, while İnter Bakı ranks 8th with just 6 victories. Qarabağ holds a decisive advantage in away matches – 71% wins, averaging 2.43 goals per match, and only 14% losses. Their 62% possession and high xG (1.87) confirm offensive dominance. İnter Bakı has a negative goal difference at home (-4), 50% losses in home matches, and struggles to keep a clean sheet. Although Qarabağ's last 5 matches show some fluctuations in form, their quality and experience should prevail in this duel.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.83 goals / match - Qarabağ
Qarabağ is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 0.67 goals / match - Qarabağ
İnter Bakı scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
Qarabağ scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Qarabağ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 1.72 pts / match - Qarabağ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İnter Bakı
Qarabağ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.57 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 68% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: İnter Bakı 0 - 1 - 0 Qarabağ. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Qarabağ?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 1:2 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Qarabağ?
İnter Bakı score 1.11 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 1.83. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of İnter Bakı's matches and 39% of Qarabağ's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Qarabağ in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Qarabağ?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.