Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData current as of 14 October 2026

İnter Bakı vs Safa: match statistics

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İnter Bakı vs Safa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

İnter Bakı play Safa in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 16 October 2026.

Current form

İnter Bakı: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Safa: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

İnter Bakı scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Safa scores 0.29 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: İnter Bakı 71%, Safa 14%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 43%, Safa 29%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

İnter Bakı has higher xG: 1.19 vs 0.93. İnter Bakı: 9.1 shots per match, Safa: 6.1.

Match halves

İnter Bakı: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Safa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

İnter Bakı: 16-30 (2 goals). Safa: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.29Goals scored / match0.29
İnter BakıSafa
1Goals conceded / match1.71
İnter BakıSafa
44%Average possession39%
İnter BakıSafa
3.43Shots on target / match3
İnter BakıSafa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.14Shots per match6.14
İnter BakıSafa
3.43Shots on target3
İnter BakıSafa
14.1%Shot conversion4.7%
İnter BakıSafa
44%Possession39%
İnter BakıSafa
1.19xG for0.93
İnter BakıSafa
1.53xG against1.99
İnter BakıSafa

Shooting quality

İnter Bakı: Counter-attackingSafa: Balanced
İnter BakıSafa
Accuracy (shots on target)38%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.10

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

İnter Bakı
DWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W57% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-1
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Safa
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W0% D86% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-6
0.43 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 2.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

İnter Bakı is 345% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 0.29 goals / match - Safa

İnter Bakı is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.71 goals / match - Safa

İnter Bakı scoring profile: very strong

İnter Bakı scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Safa scoring profile: mixed

Safa scores in 29% of matches (2 of 7 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

9Goals scored (season)2
İnter BakıSafa
7Goals conceded (season)12
İnter BakıSafa
2.29Average goals in match2
İnter BakıSafa
8Goals scored (last 5)1
İnter BakıSafa
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
İnter BakıSafa

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal29%
İnter BakıSafa
29%2 goals0%
İnter BakıSafa
14%3 goals0%
İnter BakıSafa
14%4 goals0%
İnter BakıSafa

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%
İnter BakıSafa
14%2 goals43%
İnter BakıSafa
14%3 goals29%
İnter BakıSafa
0%4 goals14%
İnter BakıSafa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%
İnter BakıSafa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
İnter BakıSafa
14%Scored in both halves0%
İnter BakıSafa

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
İnter BakıSafa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
İnter BakıSafa
80%BTTS - last 520%
İnter BakıSafa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
İnter BakıSafa
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
İnter BakıSafa
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
İnter BakıSafa

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
İnter BakıSafa
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
İnter BakıSafa
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
İnter BakıSafa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

İnter Bakı is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 0.43 pts / match - Safa

İnter Bakı - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Safa - half-time state
0% leading43% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)0.43
İnter BakıSafa
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0
İnter BakıSafa
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
İnter BakıSafa
1.14Average goals (1st half)0.71
İnter BakıSafa
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
İnter BakıSafa
57%No goal before half-time100%
İnter BakıSafa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)0.57
İnter BakıSafa
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
İnter BakıSafa
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)1
İnter BakıSafa
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.29
İnter BakıSafa
57%Clean sheet after half-time29%
İnter BakıSafa
57%No goal after half-time71%
İnter BakıSafa

İnter Bakı - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Safa - second-half results

14% W14% D71% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

İnter Bakı - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Safa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

İnter Bakı
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Safa
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
21%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

İnter Bakı

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
28%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

İnter BakıLigaSafa
Average goals in match▼ 2.292.42▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 71%43%▼ 14%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 43%43%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▼ 29%34%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%63%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▼ 57%78%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do İnter Bakı and Safa play?

İnter Bakı face Safa on 16 October 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Safa?

İnter Bakı score 1.29 goals per game on average and Safa 0.29. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 71% of İnter Bakı's matches and 14% of Safa's.

What form are İnter Bakı and Safa in?

Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Safa 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Safa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.