Inter II vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter favoring a draw. Inter II shows poor home form with only an 11% win rate and a disastrous run in the last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG). Novara is characterized by a remarkable tendency to draw, achieving this result in 78% of away games, confirmed by the 'dddlddwdd' sequence in recent away matches. Both teams have similar averages for goals scored and conceded (around 1-1.1 per match), as well as close xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' propensity for draws, a sharing of points is the most likely outcome, as neither side holds a clear winning advantage.
Inter II vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter II played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Inter II: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Novara: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter II scores 1.21 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Novara scores 0.89 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter II 58%, Novara 53%. Over 2.5: Inter II 37%, Novara 26%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Inter II has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.40. Inter II: 10.9 shots per match, Novara: 11.1.
Match halves
Inter II: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.47. Novara: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Inter II: 16-30 (6 goals). Novara: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter favoring a draw. Inter II shows poor home form with only an 11% win rate and a disastrous run in the last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 PPG). Novara is characterized by a remarkable tendency to draw, achieving this result in 78% of away games, confirmed by the 'dddlddwdd' sequence in recent away matches. Both teams have similar averages for goals scored and conceded (around 1-1.1 per match), as well as close xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' propensity for draws, a sharing of points is the most likely outcome, as neither side holds a clear winning advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter II | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novara is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Inter II · 0.6 pts / match - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter II is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Inter II · 0.89 goals / match - Novara
Inter II scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Novara scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Inter II keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter II
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter II is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Inter II · 1.37 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter II
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Inter II | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.26 | 2.22 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 37% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inter II 0 - 1 - 0 Novara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter II vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Inter II 0:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter II vs Novara?
Inter II score 1.21 goals per game on average and Novara 0.89. The Serie C Group A average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Inter II's matches and 53% of Novara's.
What form are Inter II and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Inter II have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Novara 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter II vs Novara?
The statistical background for Inter II vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.