Inter II vs Team Altamura: match statistics

Team Altamura are showing clearly better recent form: they have taken 8 points from their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 2 draws, while Inter II have collected only 4 points. The hosts have lost 3 of their last 5 games and conceded 6 goals in that period, scoring just 3. The visitors are not flawless defensively either, having conceded 7 goals in five appearances, but their attacking output stands at 5 goals and is higher than Inter II’s tally. The start of the season nevertheless calls for caution, as Inter II won their only match so far 2:1, while Team Altamura secured a 1:0 victory. The visitors’ superior results trend and the hosts’ weaker finishing efficiency point towards a narrow Team Altamura victory.

The BTTS signal is not clear-cut, but Inter II have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The hosts scored 3 goals during this period, while Team Altamura scored 5, with average xG figures of 1.59 and 0.93 respectively. Inter II conceded an average of 1.2 goals, while the visitors conceded 1.4; however, BTTS in the last five appearances of both teams stood at only 40% and 60%. In addition, Inter II’s current data shows 0% of matches with both teams scoring and 100% of matches with a clean sheet. Although the league-wide BTTS average is a high 70%, the hosts’ weaker attacking efficiency and the visitors’ limited xG potential slightly favour the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as Inter II’s last five matches produced only 1.8 total goals per game, with no more than 2 goals scored in 80% of those matches. Team Altamura have recorded more open results, averaging 2.4 goals across their last five matches; however, only 40% of their games went Over 2.5 goals. The hosts scored just 0.6 goals per game during this period, although their xG stood at 1.59, suggesting room for improvement but not a particularly high-scoring game. The visitors averaged 1.0 goal, while their xG of 0.93 remains moderate; at the same time, Inter II conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The visitors’ season data is very incomplete, so the projection of 2.40 goals is based primarily on recent form and clearly supports the Under 3.5 option.

Full-season data is extremely limited, so greater weight should be placed on the last five matches, in which Team Altamura averaged 1.0 goals and 1.6 points per game, compared with Inter II’s 0.6 goals and 0.8 points per game. Inter II were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 appearances, while the visitors were leading or level at the break in 3 of 5 matches overall, supporting an even scoreline after 45 minutes. After the break, the hosts failed to score in any of their five matches and lost the second half in 80% of cases, whereas Altamura averaged 0.6 goals after the interval. The visitors have lost only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Inter II suffered 3 defeats; therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Team Altamura win at full-time (X/2).