United States - MLSChase StadiumData current as of 22 July 2026

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inter Miami play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 23 July 2026 at 01:30. Venue: Chase Stadium.

Current form

Inter Miami: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Chicago Fire: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inter Miami scores 2.60 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.93 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inter Miami 73%, Chicago Fire 57%. Over 2.5: Inter Miami 73%, Chicago Fire 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.64. Inter Miami: 16.3 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 14.9.

Match halves

Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.40. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Inter Miami: 76-90+ (12 goals). Chicago Fire: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.99)
(4.20)
(2.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inter MiamiChicago Fire
2.6Goals scored / match1.93
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
1.87Goals conceded / match1.14
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
58%Average possession53%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
6.8Shots on target / match5.21
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.33Shots per match14.86
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
6.8Shots on target5.21
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
15.9%Shot conversion13%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
58%Possession53%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
1.84xG for1.64
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
1.41xG against1.38
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

Shooting quality

Inter Miami: DominantChicago Fire: Attacking
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
Accuracy (shots on target)42%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inter Miami is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire

Inter Miami
LWWWW
Season result split
60% W27% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-2
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 2.13Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Chicago Fire
LLWWW
Season result split
57% W14% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-4
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Miami is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

2.6 goals / match - Inter Miami · 1.93 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.87 goals / match - Inter Miami · 1.14 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Inter Miami scoring profile: strong

Inter Miami scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

Chicago Fire scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).

39Goals scored (season)27
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
28Goals conceded (season)16
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
4.47Average goals in match3.07
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
20Goals scored (last 5)10
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
13Goals conceded (last 5)8
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal93%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
80%2 goals57%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
47%3 goals29%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
27%4 goals7%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal57%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
67%2 goals36%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
27%3 goals21%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
13%4 goals0%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time29%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
27%BTTS in both halves7%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
47%Scored in both halves36%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
80%BTTS - last 580%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.71 pts / match - Chicago Fire

Inter Miami - half-time state
33% leading53% draw13% trailing
Chicago Fire - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.71
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
2Average goals (1st half)1.29
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
47%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
33%No goal before half-time36%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
2.47Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
33%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
33%No goal after half-time36%
Inter MiamiChicago Fire

Inter Miami - second-half results

40% W33% R27% P
23
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chicago Fire - second-half results

43% W21% R36% P
24
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inter Miami - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match2.21.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match3.43.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 11
Chicago Fire - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inter Miami
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
4
16-30
8
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
5
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Chicago Fire
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
6
31-45
3
1
46-60
6
1
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inter Miami

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.76
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Chicago Fire

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Inter MiamiLigaChicago Fire
Average goals in match 4.473.30 3.07
Both teams scored 73%61% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%62% 71%
Clean sheets 20%22% 43%
Goal before half-time 80%77% 79%
Goal after half-time 87%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.30
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Inter Miami and Chicago Fire play?

Inter Miami face Chicago Fire on 22 July 2026 in MLS at Chase Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Inter Miami score 2.60 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.93. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Inter Miami's matches and 57% of Chicago Fire's.

What form are Inter Miami and Chicago Fire in?

Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.