United States - MLSData current as of 07 September 2026

Inter Miami vs New York RB: match statistics

Inter Miami crest
Inter Miami
2 : 2half-time 1:1
New York RB crest
New York RB

Inter Miami vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inter Miami played New York RB in MLS (United States). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Inter Miami: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. New York RB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inter Miami scores 1.83 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. New York RB scores 1.50 and concedes 2.17. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inter Miami 67%, New York RB 67%. Over 2.5: Inter Miami 83%, New York RB 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

New York RB has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.68. Inter Miami: 15.7 shots per match, New York RB: 17.2.

Match halves

Inter Miami: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.17. New York RB: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Inter Miami: 76-90+ (3 goals). New York RB: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

I back an Inter Miami win (1). The hosts clearly dominate chance creation: at home they record 66% possession, on average 28 shots (8 on target) and xG 2.85 per game versus New York RB’s 58% possession, 20.33 shots (9.33 on target) and xG 2.28 away. New York RB have conceded 12 goals in their last five matches, while Inter conceded 5 in that period and average 2 goals conceded at home (the visitors 2.67 away), which favors the hosts. It should be noted, however, that Inter have 100% draws at home (0 wins) and both teams have 0% clean sheets and 0% FTS, so a draw with goals remains a realistic scenario.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

New York RB has BTTS in 100% of matches this season and concedes an average of 2.67 goals per game (last 5: 2.4), which strongly increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Inter Miami at home scores an average of 1.67 goals this season and concedes 1.67; in the last 5 matches they scored 6 and conceded 5 (avg 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded), so they also allow goals. NYRB generates higher xG (2.28 vs 1.76), takes more shots (20.33 vs 14.0) and has more shots on target (9.33 vs 4.67), indicating a significant advantage in chance creation despite lower finishing (7% vs 12%). In the league BTTS occurs in 53% of fixtures, and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, which together strengthens the signal for Goal/Goal. Considering NYRB's 100% season BTTS rate, the high xG of 2.28 and the recent average of 2.4 goals conceded in the last 5, I back BTTS - Yes with an 80% probability versus 20% on No.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Expected goals are 1.68 for Inter Miami and 1.77 for New York RB, totaling 3.45, which is above the league average of 3.12 and suggests a high-chance game. This season Inter Miami has scored over 1.5 goals in 67% of matches, New York RB in 100%, and over 2.5 stands at 67% for both teams, providing a strong signal for at least three goals. New York RB has xG_for 2.28 and averages 9.33 shots on target with 2.67 goals conceded per game, while Inter Miami has xG_for 1.76 and 4.67 shots on target — this confirms the combined xG of 3.45. Considering the combined xG 3.45, the league over 2.5 rate of 63% and the seasonal 67% for both sides, I assess Over 2.5 at approximately 76% (Under 24%); Over 1.5 at 92%; and Over 3.5 at about 41%, therefore the best play is Over 2.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win after 90 minutes (X/1). Inter Miami draw at half-time in 67% of home matches, and in their last 5 games they had a half-time draw in 80% of cases, which favors a draw after the first 45 minutes. The home side wins 67% of their home games versus 33% away wins for the visitors, and additionally Inter Miami frequently attacks after the break — they scored 2 goals in minutes 46–60, while New York RB conceded 2 goals in the same interval. New York generates a higher xG (2.28 vs 1.76) but has poorer shot conversion (7% vs 12%), so the visitors’ creative advantage converts to goals less often; the away side also has 100% of matches with both teams scoring on the road, suggesting an open, goal-scoring confrontation. However, given the match structure (draw at the break + Inter’s second-half advantage), X/1 appears the strongest signal.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Inter MiamiNew York RB
16Shots5
Inter MiamiNew York RB
7Shots on target2
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.86xG0.7
Inter MiamiNew York RB
12Corners3
Inter MiamiNew York RB
50Dangerous attacks31
Inter MiamiNew York RB
8Fouls14
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1Cards2
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.67
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.83Goals scored / match1.5
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.67Goals conceded / match2.17
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.68xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.2.02
Inter MiamiNew York RB
61%Average possession60%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
5.67Shots on target / match7
Inter MiamiNew York RB
17%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
67%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.67%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.67Shots per match17.17
Inter MiamiNew York RB
5.67Shots on target7
Inter MiamiNew York RB
11.7%Shot conversion8.7%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
61%Possession60%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.68xG for2.02
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.29xG against1.43
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Shooting quality

Inter Miami: DominantNew York RB: Dominant
Inter MiamiNew York RB
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inter Miami is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.4 pts / match - New York RB

Inter Miami
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W33% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
New York RB
WLDLW
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Miami is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Inter Miami · 1.5 goals / match - New York RB

Inter Miami is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Inter Miami · 2.17 goals / match - New York RB

Inter Miami scoring profile: very strong

Inter Miami scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

New York RB scoring profile: very strong

New York RB scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

11Goals scored (season)9
Inter MiamiNew York RB
10Goals conceded (season)13
Inter MiamiNew York RB
3.5Average goals in match3.67
Inter MiamiNew York RB
11Goals scored (last 5)7
Inter MiamiNew York RB
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
Inter MiamiNew York RB
Inter Miami
17%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 6 matches
33%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.2 of 6 matches
New York RB
17%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 6 matches
17%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.1 of 6 matches

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
67%2 goals33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%3 goals17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
17%4 goals17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
67%2 goals50%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
17%3 goals33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
0%4 goals17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
Inter Miami - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 6 matches
67%
New York RB - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 6 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%BTTS in both halves17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%Scored in both halves17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
80%BTTS - last 560%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

83%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.100%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
83%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.83%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
83%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.67%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
50%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Over / Under - Inter Miami

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%

Over / Under - New York RB

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Miami is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Inter Miami · 0.83 pts / match - New York RB

Inter Miami - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
New York RB - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.83
Inter MiamiNew York RB
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Inter MiamiNew York RB
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.33
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
50%No goal before half-time67%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Inter MiamiNew York RB
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)1
Inter MiamiNew York RB
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
Inter MiamiNew York RB
2Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Inter MiamiNew York RB
33%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB
50%No goal after half-time33%
Inter MiamiNew York RB

Inter Miami - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

New York RB - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inter Miami - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
New York RB - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inter Miami
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

New York RB
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inter Miami

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

New York RB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Inter MiamiLigaNew York RB
Average goals in match▲ 3.503.11▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▲ 67%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%63%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%26%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%72%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time• 83%83%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+68%
Home attack advantage
+41%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. New York RBGoalJorge RuvalcabaAssist: Julian Hall
  2. Inter MiamiGoalMateo SilvettiAssist: Rodrigo Javier De Paul
  3. Inter MiamiSubstitutionOn: Dániel PintérOff: Sergio Reguilón Rodríguez
  4. Inter MiamiGoalGermán Berterame
  5. New York RBYellow cardCade Cowell
  6. Inter MiamiSubstitutionOn: Gonzalo Luján MelliOff: Mateo Silvetti
  7. Inter MiamiYellow cardIan Fray
  8. New York RBGoalAdri MehmetiAssist: Julian Hall
  9. Inter MiamiSubstitutionOn: Luis Alberto Suárez DíazOff: Ian Fray
  10. New York RBYellow cardRafael Mosquera

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeRosendo Mendoza

FAQ

What was the result of Inter Miami vs New York RB?

The MLS match finished Inter Miami 2:2 New York RB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs New York RB?

Inter Miami score 1.83 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.50. The MLS average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Inter Miami's matches and 67% of New York RB's.

What form are Inter Miami and New York RB in?

Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and New York RB 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs New York RB?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Miami vs New York RB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.