Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union: match statistics
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Miami played Philadelphia Union in MLS (United States). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Chase Stadium. Final score: 6:4.
Current form
Inter Miami: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Philadelphia Union: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Miami scores 2.36 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Philadelphia Union scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Miami 71%, Philadelphia Union 64%. Over 2.5: Inter Miami 71%, Philadelphia Union 57%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.61. Inter Miami: 16.3 shots per match, Philadelphia Union: 14.5.
Match halves
Inter Miami: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.36. Philadelphia Union: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Inter Miami: 76-90+ (10 goals). Philadelphia Union: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Miami is the favorite: at home they average 2.0 goals per game and have 8.8 shots on target and 22 shots overall, while Philadelphia on the road records 1.38 goals and only 3.88 shots on target. Inter generates an average xG of 2.44 at home versus Philadelphia’s 1.58 xG away, and with equal shot conversion of 9% the home side clearly creates more high-quality chances. In the last 5 matches Inter scored 15 goals and averaged 2 points per game, while Philadelphia scored 5 goals and averaged 0.4 points, showing the hosts’ form advantage. Defensively the visitors concede 2.25 goals on average away, and although the hosts concede 1.8 at home, Inter has no problem scoring (0% of home matches without a goal vs 25% of Philadelphia’s away matches without a goal). Considering Inter’s 60% possession versus the visitors’ 46% and the edge in xG and shots on target, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators favor BTTS: Inter Miami has BTTS in 50% of matches, Philadelphia 75%, and league average BTTS is 61%. Seasonally Inter scores 0.5 goals per game vs 1.38 for Philadelphia, but in the last 5 matches Inter has risen to 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Philadelphia has 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. xG analysis shows both teams create chances: season xG is 1.65 (Inter) vs 1.58 (Philadelphia), and in the last 5 matches the home side’s xG is 2.16 vs the visitors’ 1.59. Additionally Philadelphia has zero clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets) and concedes on average 2.25 goals, while Inter has only 33% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal. Considering 50% vs 75% BTTS, high recent xG and similar shot volumes (Inter 14.33 vs Philadelphia 14.63) and the difference in finishing rate (3% vs 9%), I recommend the BTTS - Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging season xG and form from the last 5 matches yields an expected total goals around 2.90 (Inter Miami ~1.50, Philadelphia ~1.40). Inter Miami posts season xG_for 1.65 versus Philadelphia’s xG_against 1.11, while Philadelphia has xG_for 1.58 versus Inter’s xG_against 1.01; additionally, in the last 5 matches Inter records xG_for 2.16 and scored 15 goals (avg 3.0), whereas Philadelphia scored 5 goals in their last 5 (avg 1.0) and conceded 9. The difference in shot conversion (conversion 3.0% Inter vs 9.0% Philadelphia) with a similar shots-per-game rate (≈14.3 vs 14.6) indicates real chances are being created on both ends. Season Over stats show Over 1.5 occurred in 50% of Inter’s matches and 88% of Philadelphia’s, and Over 2.5 in 33% and 75% respectively (the league has 62% of matches above 2.5), which aligns with the expected total of 2.90. As a result I estimate probabilities of over 1.5 at ~79% (over 2.5 ~55%, over 3.5 ~33%), therefore I recommend the strongest play is on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter Miami have been markedly better over the last 5 matches: averaging 3.0 goals per game and 2.0 points per game, with 3 wins in 5 (60%), whereas Philadelphia average 1.0 goals and 0.4 points per game with 0 wins (0%). Inter led at the break in 60% of those matches (3 of 5) and averaged 1.4 goals by half-time, while Philadelphia led at the break in 20% (1 of 5) and only averaged 0.2 goals by half-time. xG is similar (1.65 for Inter vs 1.58 for Union), but Inter register slightly more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.88) and demonstrate clearly better form, which increases the likelihood of holding a lead. Philadelphia concede 2.25 goals on average over the season and 1.8 in the last 5 matches, so they are less likely to mount a turnaround after the break; therefore the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of Inter leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1) is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Miami | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Inter Miami · 0.4 pts / match - Philadelphia Union
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 136% better for: goals scored per match.
2.36 goals / match - Inter Miami · 1 goals / match - Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Philadelphia Union keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Philadelphia Union scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Miami
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Inter Miami · 0.71 pts / match - Philadelphia Union
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Philadelphia Union - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Inter Miami | Liga | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.07 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 78% | • 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
The MLS match finished Inter Miami 6:4 Philadelphia Union. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
Inter Miami score 2.36 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union 1.00. The MLS average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Inter Miami's matches and 64% of Philadelphia Union's.
What form are Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Philadelphia Union 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.