Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers: match statistics
Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Miami played Portland Timbers in MLS (United States). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Chase Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Inter Miami: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Portland Timbers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Miami scores 2.38 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Portland Timbers scores 1.75 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Miami 77%, Portland Timbers 67%. Over 2.5: Inter Miami 77%, Portland Timbers 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.32. Inter Miami: 15.8 shots per match, Portland Timbers: 11.6.
Match halves
Inter Miami: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.46. Portland Timbers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Inter Miami: 76-90+ (10 goals). Portland Timbers: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Miami has a clear offensive edge: at home they average 22 shots and 8.75 shots on target per match with xG 2.48 and 2.0 goals scored on average, while Portland away records 12.29 shots and 3.86 shots on target with xG 1.33 and 1.14 goals on average. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 15 goals (record 3-1-1 and 2.0 points per game), and the visitors 10 goals (record 2-1-2 and 1.4 points per game), which favors Inter. Inter Miami have not had a home match without scoring (0% of games without a goal), whereas Portland failed to score in 43% of away matches, increasing the likelihood of the hosts finding the net. Both teams, however, concede a lot (Inter conceding 2.25 goals at home on average, Portland 2.14 away), so an open game is expected, but the clear quality advantage in chance creation for Inter (xG 2.48 vs 1.33 and 8.75 vs 3.86 shots on target) should decide the result. Therefore I project an Inter Miami win probability of 68%, draw 18% and Portland win 14%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario of both teams scoring appears more likely: Inter Miami average 2.6 goals per home match and have a season BTTS 80%, while Portland concede 2.14 goals away on average and have a season BTTS 57%. In the last 5 matches Inter averages 3.0 goals per game with xG 2.11, whereas Portland in that period have xG 1.36 and average 2.0 goals, showing a clear Inter advantage in chance creation (2.11 vs 1.36). Inter’s finishing rate is 25% versus Portland’s 9%, which increases the likelihood of Inter goals, but Inter also concede 1.6 goals at home on average (2.0 in the last 5), so the opponent has a realistic chance to score. Additionally, the league BTTS level is 60%, and both teams have high Over 2.5 rates (Inter 80%, Portland 57%) with Over2.5+BTTS combinations at 60% and 56%, therefore I recommend 70% on BTTS - Yes and 30% on No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project Inter Miami to score about 1.95 goals and Portland about 1.42 goals, for a combined ~3.37 goals, which clearly positions the match above the 1.5 line and also over 2.5. Inter Miami averages 2.6 goals per season with an xG of 1.32 and a high conversion rate of 25%, while Portland concedes an average of 2.14 goals with an xG against of 2.26 — this increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Both teams have 100% of their season matches over 1.5 goals; Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Miami’s matches and 57% of Portland’s, and the league averages 3.28 goals per game, supporting an open, high-scoring game scenario. In the last 5 matches Miami has 2.11 xG and on average 3.0 goals scored, while Portland has 1.36 xG and 2.0 goals scored, so Miami is generating significantly more quality chances. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended); Over 2.5 also has value (~76% probability), whereas Over 3.5 is riskier (~48% probability), therefore I choose the over at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter Miami has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 40% of home matches and average 1.6 goals by halftime, whereas Portland averages only 0.71 first-half goals and were trailing at the break in 57% of their games. Over 90 minutes the hosts score an average of 2.6 goals at home, while Portland concedes an average of 2.14 goals away, which strongly supports an Inter win. Additionally, Inter have a 60% home win rate versus Portland’s 14% away win rate and collect an average of 2.0 points per home match compared to Portland’s 0.57 points. Inter’s finishing is markedly better (conversion rate 25% versus 9%) with similar xG (1.32 versus 1.33), meaning the hosts convert chances into goals more often. Therefore the most likely scenario is Inter leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes, so I select HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Miami | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.4 pts / match - Portland Timbers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
2.38 goals / match - Inter Miami · 1.75 goals / match - Portland Timbers
Inter Miami scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Portland Timbers keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
Portland Timbers scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Miami
Over / Under - Portland Timbers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.25 pts / match - Portland Timbers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Portland Timbers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Inter Miami | Liga | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.23 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The MLS match finished Inter Miami 2:0 Portland Timbers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
Inter Miami score 2.38 goals per game on average and Portland Timbers 1.75. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Inter Miami's matches and 67% of Portland Timbers's.
What form are Inter Miami and Portland Timbers in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Portland Timbers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers?
The statistical background for Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.