Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona: match statistics
Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Milan played Hellas Verona in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Inter Milan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Hellas Verona: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Milan scores 2.36 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Hellas Verona scores 0.67 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Milan 44%, Hellas Verona 47%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 56%, Hellas Verona 53%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.22. Inter Milan: 17.3 shots per match, Hellas Verona: 11.1.
Match halves
Inter Milan: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.36. Hellas Verona: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Inter Milan: 76-90+ (20 goals). Hellas Verona: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter are the clear favorites: they sit 1st in the table and win 78% of home matches, averaging 2.72 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Hellas are 19th and have only an 11% win rate away, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.78 on average, and fail to score in 50% of away fixtures. Inter generate more chances — on average 18.28 shots and 6.89 on target per home game with xG 2.09, whereas Hellas average 11.11 shots and 3.39 on target away with xG 1.19, which clearly favors the quality of the hosts’ opportunities. The efficiency gap is significant: Inter’s shot conversion is 15% versus Hellas’ 6%, hosts keep a clean sheet in 44% of matches versus 17% for the visitors, and recent form over the last 5 matches is 4 wins and 1 draw (Inter, averaging 2.6 points) against 0 wins and an average of 0.4 points (Hellas). Based on this I predict an Inter win, assigning the hosts roughly an 85% chance, a draw 10%, and a Hellas victory 5%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back "No" because Hellas Verona have only 24 goals this season, averaging 0.67 goals away, and scored just 2 goals in the last 5 matches (0.4 per game). Inter have 85 goals this season and netted 12 in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game), while conceding only 4 in that period (0.8 per game), indicating strong home form. Season BTTS rates are 44% for Inter at home and 50% for Verona away, with the league average BTTS at 45%, so historically this fixture does not clearly favor BTTS. xG comparison shows Inter recently have home xG 1.68 versus Verona’s opponents’ conceded xG 1.54 over their last 5 matches, and Verona only register 3.39 shots on target away with a conversion rate of 6%, therefore I assess BTTS chance at 35% (Yes) and 65% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model yields expected goals: Inter 1.42 (average of xG for attack 1.26 and xG against Hellas 1.58) and Hellas 1.25 (average of xG for attack 1.19 and xG against Inter 1.31), total 2.67 goals. Season metrics show Inter matches finish Over 2.5 goals in 44% of cases, Hellas in 61%, giving an average around 52–53% and supporting the case for Over 2.5. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Inter scored 12 goals (2.4 per game), Hellas 2 goals (0.4), i.e. a combined average of 2.8 goals in the last 5, slightly above the expected 2.67. The offensive and defensive strength differential also favors goals: Inter has 85 scored and 31 conceded this season, Hellas 24 scored and 58 conceded, with average shots on target 4.0 vs 3.39. On this basis I recommend Over at the 2.5 line as the strongest signal (I assigned it a 58% probability); Over 1.5 I rate at 78%, and Over 3.5 at 22%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The last five meetings strongly favour Inter: the hosts led at the break in 4 of 5 matches (80%), scoring an average of 1.2 goals by half-time and conceding 0.2, while Hellas led at the break in only 1 of 5 (20%) and averaged 0.4 goals by half-time. Over those five games Inter averaged 2.4 goals and conceded 0.8, whereas Hellas managed only 0.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, indicating the hosts’ advantage carries into the second half. Additionally, offensive metrics show Inter’s edge: hosts’ average xG 1.26 versus 1.19 for the visitors and average shots on target 4.0 vs 3.39, which increases the likelihood that Inter will create and convert chances. Season-long HT statistics are less clear (Inter led at half-time in only 11% of matches versus 17% for the visitors), but current form (Inter 80% wins in the last 5, Hellas 0%) is a strong signal, so the most likely scenario is Inter leading at the break and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Hellas Verona | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Milan is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Inter Milan · 0.4 pts / match - Hellas Verona
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 252% better for: goals scored per match.
2.36 goals / match - Inter Milan · 0.67 goals / match - Hellas Verona
Inter Milan is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.61 goals / match - Hellas Verona
Inter Milan scores in 94% of matches (34 of 36 matches), while Hellas Verona keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Hellas Verona scores in 47% of matches (17 of 36 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Hellas Verona
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.03 pts / match - Inter Milan · 0.97 pts / match - Hellas Verona
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hellas Verona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Milan
Hellas Verona
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Hellas Verona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | • 44% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 65% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inter Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Hellas Verona. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 1:1 Hellas Verona. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona?
Inter Milan score 2.36 goals per game on average and Hellas Verona 0.67. The Serie A average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Inter Milan's matches and 47% of Hellas Verona's.
What form are Inter Milan and Hellas Verona in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Hellas Verona 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.