Inter Milan vs Juventus: match statistics
Inter Milan is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches and sitting top of the table. The hosts boast an impressive home record – a 75% win rate, averaging 2.75 goals per game and conceding just 0.83 goals on average. Juventus displays significantly weaker away form, with just a 50% win rate and averaging only 1.33 goals per away match. The difference in xG (2.16 for Inter at home vs 1.66 for Juventus away) along with the advantage in ball possession and shots on target further favors the hosts. Considering the goal difference (+23 for Inter at home vs +6 for Juventus away) and the visitors' inconsistent form in their last five matches (averaging only 1.6 points per game), Inter Milan is the clear favorite in this encounter.
Inter Milan vs Juventus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Milan played Juventus in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Inter Milan: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Juventus: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Milan scores 2.38 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Juventus scores 1.71 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Milan 42%, Juventus 50%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 58%, Juventus 46%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.94. Inter Milan: 18.4 shots per match, Juventus: 16.9.
Match halves
Inter Milan: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.33. Juventus: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Inter Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Juventus: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Milan is in outstanding form, having won all of their last five matches and sitting top of the table. The hosts boast an impressive home record – a 75% win rate, averaging 2.75 goals per game and conceding just 0.83 goals on average. Juventus displays significantly weaker away form, with just a 50% win rate and averaging only 1.33 goals per away match. The difference in xG (2.16 for Inter at home vs 1.66 for Juventus away) along with the advantage in ball possession and shots on target further favors the hosts. Considering the goal difference (+23 for Inter at home vs +6 for Juventus away) and the visitors' inconsistent form in their last five matches (averaging only 1.6 points per game), Inter Milan is the clear favorite in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Milan is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Inter Milan · 2 pts / match - Juventus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
2.38 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.71 goals / match - Juventus
Inter Milan is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Inter Milan · 0.83 goals / match - Juventus
Inter Milan scores in 96% of matches (23 of 24 matches), while Juventus keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Juventus scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 54% (13 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Juventus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.04 pts / match - Inter Milan · 1.5 pts / match - Juventus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Juventus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Milan
Juventus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.43 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 46% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inter Milan 0 - 0 - 1 Juventus. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Juventus?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 3:2 Juventus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Juventus?
Inter Milan score 2.38 goals per game on average and Juventus 1.71. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Inter Milan's matches and 50% of Juventus's.
What form are Inter Milan and Juventus in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Juventus 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Juventus?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Milan vs Juventus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.