Inter Milan vs Parma: match statistics
Inter Milan vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Milan played Parma in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Inter Milan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Parma: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Milan scores 3.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Parma scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Milan 80%, Parma 60%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 80%, Parma 40%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 2.42 vs 0.92. Inter Milan: 23.2 shots per match, Parma: 8.2.
Match halves
Inter Milan: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 2.20. Parma: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Inter Milan: 46-60 (5 goals). Parma: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter, second in the table, have won all 3 of their home matches so far, while 13th-placed Parma have lost both of their away games. The hosts average 4 goals per match at home and 8.33 shots on target, whereas Parma score just 0.5 goals away from home, averaging 3.5 shots on target. Inter’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG is 2.50, while Parma allow opponents chances worth 2.46 xG away from home and generate 0.93 xG themselves. Inter have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, but have also conceded 9, giving Parma some hope of finding the net. Even so, the gap in attacking efficiency and away form points strongly towards an Inter win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored and conceded in 80% of their last 5 matches, which is a strong signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. Inter have averaged 2.6 goals during this period, while Parma have conceded 1.4, making a home goal seem likely. Inter, meanwhile, have recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match, giving Parma a chance to score despite their modest average of 1.0 goals in their last 5 fixtures. However, caution is warranted: Parma average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 50% of those matches. The case for BTTS - Yes is driven primarily by both teams’ recent run of matches with goals at both ends, although Parma’s lower scoring output limits confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Inter scored an average of 2.6 goals, while Parma conceded 1.4, giving the hosts a solid basis for finding the net. The chance-quality figures support this: Inter’s xG stood at 2.58 over this period, while Parma’s opponents created chances worth an average of 1.89 xG. Parma have recently averaged 1.0 goal scored, while Inter conceded 1.8, so an away goal also remains possible. The strongest signal, however, points to Over 1.5 goals: this line was hit in 67% of Inter’s home matches and 100% of Parma’s away matches. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, having landed in 33% and 50% of matches, respectively, across the same samples.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter were drawing at half-time in 50% of their recent matches and did not lead at the break in any of them, so an early lead and victory are not the safest expectation. In the current league sample, the hosts averaged 0.33 goals before half-time, while Parma scored none in that period, which points towards a level score at the interval. Inter’s advantage is more pronounced after the break: in recent matches, they averaged 2.25 goals in the second half compared with Parma’s 0.75. Inter have also won 60% of their last five matches, against Parma’s 20%, making a draw at half-time followed by a home win the most likely HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Milan is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Inter Milan · 0.8 pts / match - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 275% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Inter Milan · 0.8 goals / match - Parma
Parma is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.4 goals / match - Parma
Inter Milan scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Parma scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Parma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Inter Milan · 1 pts / match - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Milan
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.60 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Inter Milan 2 - 0 - 0 Parma. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 3:0 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Parma?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Milan won 2, Parma won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Parma?
Inter Milan score 3.00 goals per game on average and Parma 0.80. The Serie A average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Inter Milan's matches and 60% of Parma's.
What form are Inter Milan and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Parma 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Parma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.