Inter Milan vs Roma: match statistics
Inter Milan vs Roma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Milan play Roma in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Inter Milan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Roma: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Milan scores 2.34 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Roma scores 1.55 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Milan 47%, Roma 34%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 55%, Roma 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.55. Inter Milan: 17.1 shots per match, Roma: 13.2.
Match halves
Inter Milan: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.37. Roma: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Inter Milan: 76-90+ (21 goals). Roma: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Inter, the league leader, averages 2.6 goals per home match with xG 2.13 and 7 shots on target, while Roma average 1.13 goals away with xG 1.31 and 4 shots on target. Hosts concede 0.87 goals at home versus Roma’s 0.93 away and keep 40% clean sheets compared to the visitors’ 33%, with Inter’s shot conversion at 14% versus 10% for Roma. In the last 5 matches Inter scored 4 goals and has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.2 points per game, whereas Roma scored 7 goals but lost 3 of the last 5 and average 0.8 points per game, conceding 9 goals in that period. Inter also dominates possession (60% vs 55%) and win 73% of home matches versus Roma’s 47% away win rate, giving the hosts a clear edge. Considering these figures, I assess the probability at 65% for Inter, 20% for a draw and 15% for Roma.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Roma is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Inter Milan · 3 pts / match - Roma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
2.34 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.55 goals / match - Roma
Roma is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Inter Milan · 0.82 goals / match - Roma
Inter Milan scores in 95% of matches (36 of 38 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Roma scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Inter Milan
Over / Under — Roma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - Inter Milan · 1.74 pts / match - Roma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Roma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Milan
Roma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 2.43 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inter Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Roma. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Roma?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 5:2 Roma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Roma?
Inter Milan score 2.34 goals per game on average and Roma 1.55. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inter Milan's matches and 34% of Roma's.
What form are Inter Milan and Roma in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Roma 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Roma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.