Inter Turku vs Jaro: match statistics
Inter Turku vs Jaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Turku played Jaro in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Inter Turku: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Jaro: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Turku scores 1.00 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Jaro scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Turku 33%, Jaro 60%. Over 2.5: Inter Turku 17%, Jaro 20%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Turku has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.52. Inter Turku: 14.0 shots per match, Jaro: 12.0.
Match halves
Inter Turku: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83. Jaro: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Inter Turku: 76-90+ (3 goals). Jaro: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Turku holds a clear advantage in control and quality of chances: at home they average 62% possession and 1.91 xG per match, while Jaro away records 44% possession and 1.89 xG. The hosts are more clinical and defensively solid — Inter at home scores on average 1.0 goal with shot conversion around 7% and 6.25 shots on target, while conceding only 0.5 goals with 0.54 xG against. The visitors are less efficient offensively on the road: Jaro averages 0.5 goals per match with 3% conversion despite 6.5 shots on target and have 50% of away matches without a goal. In the last 5 matches Inter have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game, while Jaro have 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points on average) and 8 goals scored; additionally Jaro have 100% draws away and Inter are unbeaten at home (0% losses). Considering better game control, higher home xG and lower xG against for Inter, I tip the home win, while noting a significant risk of a draw due to Jaro’s defensive approach away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Inter Turku has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 0% home clean sheets, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match, indicating the home side regularly concedes. Jaro has a season BTTS of 50% and 50% away clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches their BTTS is 80% and they scored 8 goals in the last 5 (1.6 avg), so their recent offensive form is better. In chance creation Jaro posts xG 1.89 with 16.5 shots and 6.5 on target per match, while Inter at home has xG against 1.19 with 9.0 shots and 3.67 on target, so Jaro clearly generates more opportunities. Counterarguments are Jaro’s low season conversion rate of 3% and season away goal average 0.5, and Inter’s BTTS in the last 5 at only 40%, which weakens the signal; nevertheless the aggregate signals (Inter 67% season BTTS and no home clean sheets, plus Jaro’s good form) favor both teams scoring. I estimate BTTS probability at ~65% for Yes and 35% for No, therefore I recommend a 'Yes' (BTTS - Yes) bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and opponent defense estimates total expected goals at 2.82 (Inter Turku 1.28 vs Jaro 1.54), which clearly exceeds the 1.5 line and is above the 2.5 threshold. This season Inter records 67% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Jaro 50%, and in the last 5 fixtures both teams averaged 2.8 goals combined (Inter 6 and Jaro 8 in the last 5), increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Jaro generates 1.89 xG and averages 6.5 SOT per match, Inter has 1.28 xG and 3.67 SOT, however Inter is more efficient (shot conversion 11% vs 3% for Jaro), which offsets the visitors’ higher volume. Inter has not kept a clean sheet yet (0% CS), and BTTS is 67% for Inter and 50% for Jaro, so both teams have a real chance to score. As a result I recommend the over market, with the strongest data signal at the 1.5 line (approx. 82% over); Over 2.5 remains moderately likely (~60%), while Over 3.5 is unlikely (~22%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics clearly favor the visitors: Jaro led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and scored 7 goals in first halves over that span, and they have not conceded a first-half goal this season (100% HT clean sheets). Nevertheless, Inter Turku shows superior full-time form — they have won 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and average 1.2 goals across those five, while Jaro have a 40% win rate in their last 5. The visitors generate more chances (xG 1.89 vs 1.28 and 16.5 shots vs 9.0 for the hosts), but the hosts are markedly more efficient in front of goal (conversion 11% vs 3%). This aligns to a scenario where Jaro is most likely to take a lead at the break, whereas Inter possess the tools to engineer a turnaround after the break thanks to higher efficiency and better recent full-time results. For that reason I rate the most probable outcome as Jaro leading at half-time and Inter Turku winning at full-time (HT/FT 2/1) and assign that scenario the highest probability (35%), with significant shares for 2/X (15%) and 2/2 (10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Turku | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Turku is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Inter Turku · 0.8 pts / match - Jaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Turku is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Inter Turku · 0.8 goals / match - Jaro
Inter Turku is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Inter Turku · 1 goals / match - Jaro
Inter Turku scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Jaro scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Inter Turku keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Turku
Over / Under - Jaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jaro is 139% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Inter Turku · 1.6 pts / match - Jaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Turku - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Turku
Jaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Inter Turku | Liga | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.20 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Inter Turku 2 - 0 - 0 Jaro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Turku vs Jaro?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Inter Turku 2:0 Jaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Turku and Jaro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Turku won 2, Jaro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Turku vs Jaro?
Inter Turku score 1.00 goals per game on average and Jaro 0.80. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Inter Turku's matches and 60% of Jaro's.
What form are Inter Turku and Jaro in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Turku have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Jaro 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Turku vs Jaro?
The statistical background for Inter Turku vs Jaro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.