Inter Turku vs Mariehamn: match statistics
Inter Turku vs Mariehamn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Turku played Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Inter Turku: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Mariehamn: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Turku scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Mariehamn scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Turku 33%, Mariehamn 67%. Over 2.5: Inter Turku 33%, Mariehamn 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Turku has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.08. Inter Turku: 11.7 shots per match, Mariehamn: 9.3.
Match halves
Inter Turku: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33. Mariehamn: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Inter Turku: 61-75 (2 goals). Mariehamn: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Turku holds a clear advantage in the table and form: they are 3rd and in their last 5 matches have a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 points per game; Mariehamn are 10th and in their last 5 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game. In attack Inter at home averages 10.5 shots and 3.5 on target per game, scores 1.0 goals on average with xG 1.44 and has a conversion rate of 10%, whereas Mariehamn away averages 5 shots and 1 on target, records 0.0 goals on average with xG 0.57 and has 0% conversion. Defensively Inter concedes only 0.5 goals per home game and has 50% clean sheets, while Mariehamn concede an average of 3.0 goals away and have kept no clean sheets (0%), with xG against of 0.47 for Inter and 2.09 for Mariehamn. Additionally the hosts control the game (66% possession at home versus 47% for Mariehamn away), create twice as many scoring chances (10.5 vs 5.0) and have a 50% home win rate versus 0% away wins for the visitors; Mariehamn have failed to score in 100% of their away matches and have a 100% away loss rate, which significantly diminishes their chances. On this basis I predict a home win; I estimate probabilities of approximately 78% for Inter, 12% for a draw and 10% for Mariehamn.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Inter Turku at home has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and concedes an average of 1.5 goals per match, indicating the hosts regularly allow opponents to score. Mariehamn on paper has a seasonal BTTS of 0% and averages 0.0 goals scored away, but in the last 5 matches they have scored 12 goals (2.4 per match) and conceded 6 goals (1.2 per match), suggesting an offensive improvement. Inter creates substantially more chances — 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target with xG 1.33 per match, versus Mariehamn 5.0 shots, 1.0 on target and xG 0.57 — the hosts should score, yet they also concede goals themselves (seasonally 1.5 and a total of 4 conceded in the last 5 matches, i.e. 0.8 per match). Considering Inter’s 100% BTTS at home and 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches, while Mariehamn have 40% BTTS in the last 5 and a seasonal away concession rate of 3.0 (6 goals conceded), the scenario of both teams scoring is more probable. Therefore I forecast BTTS - Yes 75% vs No 25%; the pick is based on the extreme seasonal signal from Inter (100% BTTS at home), Mariehamn’s weak away defense (3.0 conceded) and Mariehamn’s offensive improvement in the last 5 matches (2.4 goals scored).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimated expected goals by combining the team’s attacking xG with the opponent’s defensive xG: Inter Turku has an attacking xG of 1.33 per match, while Mariehamn concedes on average xG 2.09 per match, which translates to ~1.71 expected goals for Inter. For Mariehamn I used their attacking xG 0.57 and Inter’s defensive xG 1.66, giving ~1.12 for the visitors; total is approximately 2.83 expected goals. Inter averages 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target per match versus Mariehamn’s 5.0 shots and 1.0 on target, and in the last 5 matches Inter scored on average 1.8 goals while Mariehamn 2.4; these figures support a higher-scoring scenario. A Poisson distribution with a total of 2.83 goals gives about a 77% chance for Over 1.5, ~54% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5. Based on this, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal due to the advantage in attacking xG, clear superiority in shots and accuracy (4.5 vs 1.0) and recent goal form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter Turku holds a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.33 versus 0.57 for Mariehamn, averaging 11.5 shots per match versus 5.0 and 4.5 shots on target versus 1.0, which translates into more scoring opportunities. At Half-Time the hosts average 1.0 goal (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.0) while the visitors average 0.0 (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.0), and Inter led at the break in 50% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 50%) whereas Mariehamn were trailing at the break in 100% of cases (trailingAtHTPercentage_away = 100%). Mariehamn concede an average of 3.0 goals per match this season (seasonConcededAVG_away = 3.0) versus 1.5 conceded by Inter (seasonConcededAVG_home = 1.5), and Inter’s shot conversion rate is 13% compared to 0% for the visitors, which increases the hosts’ chances of holding the lead. Inter also show better recent form over the last 5 matches ('wwdww' and 80% wins) versus 40% for Mariehamn, therefore the most probable scenario is the hosts leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Turku | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Turku is 248% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Inter Turku · 0.67 pts / match - Mariehamn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Turku is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Inter Turku · 1 goals / match - Mariehamn
Inter Turku is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Inter Turku · 2 goals / match - Mariehamn
Inter Turku scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Mariehamn scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Inter Turku keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Turku
Over / Under - Mariehamn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mariehamn is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Inter Turku · 1.33 pts / match - Mariehamn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Turku - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Inter Turku | Liga | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.52 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Inter Turku 0 - 2 - 0 Mariehamn. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Turku vs Mariehamn?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Inter Turku 1:0 Mariehamn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Turku and Mariehamn?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Turku won 0, Mariehamn won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Turku vs Mariehamn?
Inter Turku score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mariehamn 1.00. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Inter Turku's matches and 67% of Mariehamn's.
What form are Inter Turku and Mariehamn in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Turku have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Mariehamn 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Turku vs Mariehamn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.