Inter vs Municipal Limeño: match statistics
Inter vs Municipal Limeño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter played Municipal Limeño in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Inter: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Municipal Limeño: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter scores 1.15 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Municipal Limeño scores 1.36 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter 51%, Municipal Limeño 52%. Over 2.5: Inter 54%, Municipal Limeño 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Municipal Limeño has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.23. Inter: 7.6 shots per match, Municipal Limeño: 9.7.
Match halves
Inter: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.63. Municipal Limeño: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Inter: 31-45+ (12 goals). Municipal Limeño: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter scores on average 1.19 goals per home game with xG 1.19, while Municipal scores 1.14 on the road with xG 1.29, indicating similar offensive efficiency despite the visitors’ higher xG (1.29 vs 1.19). Inter’s key advantage is defense: the hosts concede 1.14 goals per home match and allow only 1.00 xG, whereas Municipal concedes 1.36 on the road with xG against 1.53, meaning the visitors are more exposed to high-quality opponent chances. Shot stats show Municipal attempts more shots (8.5 vs 7.43) and has a similar number of shots on target (3.5 vs 3.48), but Inter’s home conversion rate is 16% versus 13% for the visitors, which favors the hosts in chance finishing. Form over the last 5 matches is comparable (Inter 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per game; Municipal 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game), however Municipal loses 50% of away matches while Inter has only 29% home defeats and a positive home goal difference (GD +1). Considering Inter’s superior defensive organization at home, higher conversion rate and lower xG against, I favor the home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and match-statistics analysis indicates a BTTS edge: xG for Inter is 1.58 vs 1.29 for Municipal Limeño, with xG against at 1.45 (Inter) and 1.53 (Municipal Limeño), yielding averaged expected goals of ~1.56 for Inter and 1.37 for Municipal Limeño. With these lambdas a Poisson model estimates ~59% probability that both teams score at least once (1 - e^-1.56 - e^-1.37 + e^-2.93 ≈ 0.59). This aligns with seasonal BTTS rates: 55% for Inter, 50% for Municipal Limeño and a league level of 53%; additionally Inter’s last 5 matches show BTTS at 60% while Municipal Limeño is only 20%, producing a mixed but prevailing signal toward BTTS. Counterarguments include Inter’s higher clean sheet expected rate (41%) and slightly lower recent xG for the home side (1.13 over 5 matches) versus 1.38 for the away side, but Municipal Limeño concedes on average 1.36 goals this season and has just 23% clean sheets, so they frequently concede. Considering the xG-based estimate (~59% probability) and seasonal support in the 53–55% range, I recommend a "BTTS - Yes" selection with a 60% stake vs 40% for "No" as the most likely choice.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives Inter 1.56 expected goals (xG_for Inter 1.58; average xG against Municipal 1.53) and Municipal Limeño 1.37 (xG_for visitors 1.29; average xG against Inter 1.45), totaling around 2.93 goals. That sum is above the league average of 2.69 and translates to approximately a 79% chance of Over 1.5 goals, about 56% for Over 2.5 goals and roughly 34% for Over 3.5 goals according to a Poisson distribution. Inter averages 10.82 shots and 4.05 on target with a 15% conversion rate, versus 8.5 shots, 3.5 on target and 13% for Municipal, giving the hosts an offensive edge. Both teams feature a significant share of matches with goals: Inter BTTS 55% and Municipal 50%, while matches with Over 1.5 goals occur in 68% and 73% of games respectively, so the risk of goals from both sides is real. In light of these figures the strongest play is Over 1.5 (highest probability and clear xG/shots advantage for the hosts).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The 1/1 scenario is most likely because the hosts lead at the break in 45% of matches (10 instances) and score an average of 0.59 goals before halftime while conceding only 0.27, giving them a clear advantage in the first half. Over the full match the hosts win 55% of games and average 1.59 goals versus 1.14 for the visitors, and the hosts’ xG of 1.58 compared to 1.29 confirms the higher quality of chances. Additionally, the hosts have scored 7 goals in the 31–45 minute interval versus just 3 for the visitors, and they add an average of 1.0 goal in the second half, so the probability of maintaining or extending the lead is high. Although in the last 5 matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), over the season visitors lead at the break in only 27% (6 instances), so the short-term form of the visitors carries less weight than the hosts’ season-long statistics. With a higher average of shots (10.82 vs 8.5) and more shots on target (4.05 vs 3.5), the “hosts lead at the break and win” Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter | Municipal Limeño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Municipal Limeño is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Inter · 2 pts / match - Municipal Limeño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Municipal Limeño is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Inter · 1.36 goals / match - Municipal Limeño
Municipal Limeño is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Inter · 1.16 goals / match - Municipal Limeño
Inter scores in 66% of matches (27 of 41 matches), while Municipal Limeño keeps a clean sheet in 32% (14 of 44 matches).
Municipal Limeño scores in 77% of matches (34 of 44 matches), while Inter keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter
Over / Under - Municipal Limeño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Municipal Limeño is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Inter · 1.43 pts / match - Municipal Limeño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Municipal Limeño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter
Municipal Limeño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Inter | Liga | Municipal Limeño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJuan Carlos Argueta
- InterGoalEmerson Saúl Mauricio Aquino
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Inter 0 - 1 - 2 Municipal Limeño. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter vs Municipal Limeño?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Inter 2:1 Municipal Limeño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Municipal Limeño?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inter won 0, Municipal Limeño won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter vs Municipal Limeño?
Inter score 1.15 goals per game on average and Municipal Limeño 1.36. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Inter's matches and 52% of Municipal Limeño's.
What form are Inter and Municipal Limeño in?
Over the last 5 games Inter have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Municipal Limeño 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter vs Municipal Limeño?
The statistical background for Inter vs Municipal Limeño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.