Internacional vs Bahia: match statistics
Bahia is showing decidedly better form than Internacional, confirmed by a 100% away win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive streak of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Internacional is in a disastrous situation - they sit 19th in the table, have not won a single home game (0% win rate), and their home form consists of two consecutive defeats. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-3) in home games, scoring just 0.5 goals per game on average, while Bahia scores an average of 1.5 goals away. The difference in expected goals (xG) also works in the visitors' favor - Internacional creates valuable chances (xG 2.23) but struggles immensely to convert them (2% conversion rate), whereas Bahia finishes their attacks effectively (16% conversion rate). Considering all statistics, a Bahia victory is the most probable scenario for this matchup.
Internacional vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Internacional played Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Internacional: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Bahia: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Internacional scores 0.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Internacional 60%, Bahia 75%. Over 2.5: Internacional 20%, Bahia 25%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Internacional has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.39. Internacional: 18.2 shots per match, Bahia: 12.8.
Match halves
Internacional: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.00. Bahia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Internacional: 31-45+ (2 goals). Bahia: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia is showing decidedly better form than Internacional, confirmed by a 100% away win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive streak of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Internacional is in a disastrous situation - they sit 19th in the table, have not won a single home game (0% win rate), and their home form consists of two consecutive defeats. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-3) in home games, scoring just 0.5 goals per game on average, while Bahia scores an average of 1.5 goals away. The difference in expected goals (xG) also works in the visitors' favor - Internacional creates valuable chances (xG 2.23) but struggles immensely to convert them (2% conversion rate), whereas Bahia finishes their attacks effectively (16% conversion rate). Considering all statistics, a Bahia victory is the most probable scenario for this matchup.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Internacional | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Internacional · 2 pts / match - Bahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Internacional · 1.25 goals / match - Bahia
Bahia is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Internacional · 0.75 goals / match - Bahia
Internacional scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Bahia scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Internacional keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Internacional
Over / Under - Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Internacional · 1.75 pts / match - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Internacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 100% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Internacional
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Internacional | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 81% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Internacional 0 - 1 - 1 Bahia. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Internacional vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Internacional 0:1 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Bahia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Internacional won 0, Bahia won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Internacional vs Bahia?
Internacional score 0.60 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.25. The Serie A average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Internacional's matches and 75% of Bahia's.
What form are Internacional and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Internacional have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bahia 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Internacional vs Bahia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.