Internacional vs Cruzeiro: match statistics
Internacional vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Internacional played Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 23 July 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Internacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cruzeiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Internacional scores 1.17 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Cruzeiro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Internacional 56%, Cruzeiro 67%. Over 2.5: Internacional 39%, Cruzeiro 61%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Internacional has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.55. Internacional: 15.2 shots per match, Cruzeiro: 14.2.
Match halves
Internacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Cruzeiro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Internacional: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cruzeiro: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Internacional holds the home advantage in terms of chance quality: average xG is 1.82 with 5.67 shots on target and an average of 1.22 goals scored per match, while they concede only 1.00 goal on average in home fixtures this season. Cruzeiro generate fewer chances on the road (average xG 1.41, 12.63 shots and 4.75 on target) and concede 2.00 goals per away match on average, with an away goal difference of -8. Over the last 5 matches, however, the visitors look defensively superior: Cruzeiro have scored 9 and conceded only 4 (average 1.8 points per match), whereas Internacional have scored 10 and conceded 10 (average 1.4 points per match). This narrows the home side’s edge, but superior xG metrics and a higher shot volume for the hosts (16.11 vs 12.63 average shots) indicate a greater capacity to create chances. Therefore I tip a narrow Internacional win, with an approximate probability distribution of 45% for the home win, 30% for a draw and 25% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong BTTS signal: Internacional has a seasonal BTTS rate of 70%, Cruzeiro 63%, and in the last 5 matches both teams show BTTS at 80%, exceeding the league average of 57%. xG analysis shows Internacional generates 1.66 xG versus 1.45 xG conceded by Cruzeiro, while Cruzeiro has 1.41 xG versus 0.96 xG conceded by Internacional, indicating realistic scoring opportunities for both sides. In the last 5 matches Internacional scored 10 and conceded 10 (2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game), and Cruzeiro scored 9 and conceded 4 (1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded), so both teams regularly find the net. Additionally, shots on target 4.7 vs 4.75, shot conversion 10% vs 8% and low clean sheet percentages 30% and 13% further support the Goal/Goal scenario, therefore I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project Over on the 1.5 line as the best option: expected goals are 1.56 for Internacional and 1.19 for Cruzeiro, totaling 2.75. Both teams have a high percentage of matches above 1.5 goals — Internacional 90% and Cruzeiro 88% season-to-date (average 89%), which strongly supports Over 1.5. xG analysis confirms an offensive profile: Internacional xG for 1.66 versus Cruzeiro xG conceded 1.45 (average 1.56), and Cruzeiro xG for 1.41 versus Internacional xG conceded 0.96 (average 1.19). Additionally, both teams regularly score in matches: home side have 70% such games, visitors 63%, and in the last 5 fixtures the both-teams-to-score rate was 80%, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. The 2.5 line has moderate support (seasonal average Over 62%), whereas 1.5 provides the strongest, most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Internacional led at the break in 4 matches (40%), while Cruzeiro did so in only 1 (13%). The home side averages 0.8 goals in the first half versus 0.5 for the visitors, and concedes 0.5 compared to Cruzeiro’s 1.0. Over the full match Internacional averages 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, while Cruzeiro averages 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. xG favors the hosts (1.66 vs. 1.41) and indicates better home defense (xG against 0.96 vs. 1.45 for Cruzeiro). In second halves the advantage also lies with the hosts — they score 0.8 and concede 0.7 on average, while the visitors score 0.5 and concede 1.0 — suggesting that a lead at the break is frequently maintained. Based on this, the strongest signal is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time; therefore I assign 36% to 1/1. The second scenarios are half-time draw to home win (19%) or draw/draw (11%), while a Cruzeiro comeback or win is less likely (about 20% combined).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Internacional | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruzeiro is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Internacional · 1.6 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruzeiro is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Internacional · 1.33 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Internacional is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Internacional · 1.56 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Internacional scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Cruzeiro scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Internacional keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Internacional
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cruzeiro is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Internacional · 1.28 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Internacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Internacional
Cruzeiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Internacional | Liga | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Internacional 1 - 0 - 1 Cruzeiro. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
The Serie A match finished Internacional 1:2 Cruzeiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Cruzeiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Internacional won 1, Cruzeiro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Internacional score 1.17 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Internacional's matches and 67% of Cruzeiro's.
What form are Internacional and Cruzeiro in?
Over the last 5 games Internacional have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cruzeiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Internacional vs Cruzeiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.