Inverness CT vs Arbroath: match statistics
Inverness CT vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT played Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Inverness CT: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Arbroath: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 1.20 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Arbroath scores 0.70 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 50%, Arbroath 40%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 40%, Arbroath 50%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.40 vs 0.76. Inverness CT: 10.1 shots per match, Arbroath: 4.2.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Arbroath: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 16-30 (3 goals). Arbroath: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals in the process, while Arbroath have suffered 4 defeats and scored just 3 goals. At home, the hosts concede an average of 0.6 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games, while the visitors concede an average of 2.2 goals away from home. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the xG: Inverness average 1.32 at home compared with their opponents' 0.86, while Arbroath average 0.89 away compared with their opponents' 1.47. The visitors have failed to score in 80% of their away matches and have lost 4 of their last 5 on the road, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to Arbroath failing to score: away from home, they average 0.4 goals and have been kept scoreless in 80% of matches. Inverness concede an average of 0.8 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 40% of games, further limiting the visitors’ chances. In their last 5 matches, Arbroath scored just 3 goals, with an average xG of 0.70 compared with the 0.96 xG conceded by Inverness. The hosts are more likely to find the net, having averaged 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while Arbroath conceded 2.2. BTTS - No is therefore more likely, meaning at least one team will fail to score—not necessarily that the match will end in a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Inverness have averaged 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while Arbroath have conceded 2.2 goals over the same period, giving the hosts a clear chance to find the net. The visitors’ scoring potential is limited, however: they have averaged 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches and failed to score in 80% of the games covered by the statistics. The case for Under 3.5 goals is also supported by the fact that this line was not exceeded in any of Inverness’s matches and in only 20% of Arbroath’s. With projected totals of 1.75 goals for the hosts and 0.60 for the visitors, a match with no more than 3 goals is the most likely outcome, despite Arbroath’s poor defensive record.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is Inverness CT leading at the break and holding on to win, as Arbroath were behind at half-time in 4 of the 5 matches analysed, conceding an average of 1.4 goals before the break. The hosts led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches overall, although in home games they did so only once in 5, making a half-time draw a significant alternative. Inverness’s recent record also supports a full-time win: they won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Arbroath lost 4. At home, Inverness concede an average of 0.8 goals per match, whereas Arbroath score 0.4 and concede 2.2 goals per away match. In addition, Inverness won the second half in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Arbroath failed to win any, reinforcing the scenario in which Inverness maintain their lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Inverness CT · 0.6 pts / match - Arbroath
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Inverness CT · 0.7 goals / match - Arbroath
Inverness CT is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.5 goals / match - Arbroath
Inverness CT scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Arbroath scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inverness CT
Over / Under - Arbroath
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Inverness CT · 0.9 pts / match - Arbroath
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arbroath - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Arbroath
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.30 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 39% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inverness CT 0 - 1 - 0 Arbroath. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
The Championship match finished Inverness CT 2:0 Arbroath. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
Inverness CT score 1.20 goals per game on average and Arbroath 0.70. The Championship average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Inverness CT's matches and 40% of Arbroath's.
What form are Inverness CT and Arbroath in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Arbroath 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inverness CT vs Arbroath: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.