Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Inverness CT is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with a 77% win rate, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per game while conceding just 0.62. A positive goal difference (+22) in home matches and a 54% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive solidity. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, struggle with poor away form (21% wins, 57% losses) and have failed to score in 43% of their away matches. The difference in overall quality, confirmed by xG metrics (2.04 vs 1.17) and ball possession (57% vs 51%), clearly points to a confident victory for the hosts. Both teams' recent form (Inverness: WDWDW, Cove Rangers: LWWLW) further validates the league leader's superiority.
Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cove Rangers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 1.74 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 1.11 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 37%, Cove Rangers 43%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 44%, Cove Rangers 46%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.22. Inverness CT: 13.7 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 9.1.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.96. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with a 77% win rate, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per game while conceding just 0.62. A positive goal difference (+22) in home matches and a 54% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive solidity. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, struggle with poor away form (21% wins, 57% losses) and have failed to score in 43% of their away matches. The difference in overall quality, confirmed by xG metrics (2.04 vs 1.17) and ball possession (57% vs 51%), clearly points to a confident victory for the hosts. Both teams' recent form (Inverness: WDWDW, Cove Rangers: LWWLW) further validates the league leader's superiority.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.8 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.11 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Inverness CT is 105% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.29 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Inverness CT scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Cove Rangers scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 59% (16 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inverness CT
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.14 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Inverness CT 2 - 1 - 0 Cove Rangers. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Inverness CT 1:1 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Cove Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Cove Rangers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?
Inverness CT score 1.74 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.11. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Inverness CT's matches and 43% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Inverness CT and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cove Rangers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.