Scotland - League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Cove Rangers crest
Cove Rangers
175%(1.35)
X15%(4.40)
210%(6.70)

Inverness CT is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with a 77% win rate, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per game while conceding just 0.62. A positive goal difference (+22) in home matches and a 54% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive solidity. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, struggle with poor away form (21% wins, 57% losses) and have failed to score in 43% of their away matches. The difference in overall quality, confirmed by xG metrics (2.04 vs 1.17) and ball possession (57% vs 51%), clearly points to a confident victory for the hosts. Both teams' recent form (Inverness: WDWDW, Cove Rangers: LWWLW) further validates the league leader's superiority.

Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inverness CT play Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cove Rangers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inverness CT scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 1.14 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inverness CT 47%, Cove Rangers 42%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 39%, Cove Rangers 42%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.16. Inverness CT: 13.4 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 8.6.

Match halves

Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Inverness CT: 61-75 (13 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Inverness CT is the clear favorite in this clash, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with a 77% win rate, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per game while conceding just 0.62. A positive goal difference (+22) in home matches and a 54% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive solidity. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, struggle with poor away form (21% wins, 57% losses) and have failed to score in 43% of their away matches. The difference in overall quality, confirmed by xG metrics (2.04 vs 1.17) and ball possession (57% vs 51%), clearly points to a confident victory for the hosts. Both teams' recent form (Inverness: WDWDW, Cove Rangers: LWWLW) further validates the league leader's superiority.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Inverness CTCove Rangers
13Shots5
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5Shots on target2
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.62xG0.72
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5Corners1
Inverness CTCove Rangers
62Dangerous attacks37
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5Fouls9
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1Cards2
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.67Goals scored / match1.14
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.67Goals conceded / match1.22
Inverness CTCove Rangers
56%Average possession49%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5.81Shots on target / match4
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.39Shots per match8.61
Inverness CTCove Rangers
5.81Shots on target4
Inverness CTCove Rangers
12.4%Shot conversion13.2%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
56%Possession49%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.69xG for1.16
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.81xG against1.32
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedCove Rangers: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTCove Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)43%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT · 2 pts / match - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W31% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-4-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Cove Rangers
WLWWD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-9
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.14 goals / match - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.22 goals / match - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

Cove Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Cove Rangers scores in 56% of matches (20 of 36 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

60Goals scored (season)41
Inverness CTCove Rangers
24Goals conceded (season)44
Inverness CTCove Rangers
2.33Average goals in match2.36
Inverness CTCove Rangers
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Inverness CTCove Rangers
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Inverness CTCove Rangers

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal56%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
44%2 goals33%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
22%3 goals17%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
8%4 goals6%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
14%2 goals39%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
3%3 goals8%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
33%Scored in both halves22%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
60%BTTS - last 520%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.81 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.22 pts / match - Cove Rangers

Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing
Cove Rangers - half-time state
28% leading39% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per match (1st half)1.22
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.28Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.06
Inverness CTCove Rangers
75%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
39%No goal before half-time64%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)1.28
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Inverness CTCove Rangers
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Inverness CTCove Rangers
1.28Average goals (2nd half)1.22
Inverness CTCove Rangers
67%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Inverness CTCove Rangers
36%No goal after half-time58%
Inverness CTCove Rangers

Inverness CT - second-half results

53% W25% R22% P
65
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cove Rangers - second-half results

31% W36% R33% P
44
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cove Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
13
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Cove Rangers
ScoredConceded
7
11
0-15
5
7
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
5
46-60
9
8
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Cove Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaCove Rangers
Average goals in match 2.332.62 2.36
Both teams scored 47%50% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%49% 42%
Clean sheets 50%28% 25%
Goal before half-time 72%73% 67%
Goal after half-time 83%83% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Inverness CT 2 - 1 - 0 Cove Rangers. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Cove Rangers FC
0 : 0
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Cove Rangers FC
Cove Rangers FC
0 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 1:1 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Cove Rangers?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Cove Rangers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

Inverness CT score 1.67 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.14. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inverness CT's matches and 42% of Cove Rangers's.

What form are Inverness CT and Cove Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cove Rangers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.