Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inverness CT played Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Inverness CT: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inverness CT scores 1.80 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inverness CT 33%, Hamilton Academical 44%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 40%, Hamilton Academical 63%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.46. Inverness CT: 15.3 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 10.7.

Match halves

Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.93. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Inverness CT: 31-45+ (6 goals). Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

70Possession (%)30
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
10Shots6
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
5Shots on target0
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
1.3xG0.53
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
8Corners4
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
45Dangerous attacks22
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
9Fouls17
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0Cards2
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inverness CTHamilton Academical
1.8Goals scored / match1.88
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0.6Goals conceded / match0.88
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
51%Average possession49%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
6.87Shots on target / match5.63
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.33Shots per match10.69
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
6.87Shots on target5.63
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
11.7%Shot conversion17.5%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
51%Possession49%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
1.9xG for1.46
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0.87xG against1.17
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: AttackingHamilton Academical: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)45%53%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 63% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.6 pts / match - Hamilton Academical

Inverness CT
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
73% W13% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 0.73BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Hamilton Academical
DWLWD
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-4
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Inverness CT · 0.88 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 100% of matches (15 of 15 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: mixed

Hamilton Academical scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 67% (10 of 15 matches).

27Goals scored (season)30
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
9Goals conceded (season)14
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
2.4Average goals in match2.75
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
1Goals conceded (last 5)4
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal75%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
47%2 goals56%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
20%3 goals38%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
13%4 goals19%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal56%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
20%2 goals25%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
7%3 goals6%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 16 matches
44%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time19%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
40%Scored in both halves56%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
20%BTTS - last 560%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading40% draw13% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)1.88
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.94
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.25
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
73%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
33%No goal before half-time31%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per match (2nd half)1.81
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
0.27Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
80%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical
27%No goal after half-time38%
Inverness CTHamilton Academical

Inverness CT - second-half results

67% W13% R20% P
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

50% W31% R19% P
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hamilton Academical - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
6
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
6
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
6
4
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals in match 2.402.54 2.75
Both teams scored 33%44% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%53% 63%
Clean sheets 67%31% 44%
Goal before half-time 73%72% 75%
Goal after half-time 87%81% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalMitchell Robertson
  2. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardKyle MacDonald
  3. Inverness CTGoalChanka ZimbaAssist: Calum Macleod
  4. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Alfie BavidgeOff: Chanka Zimba
  5. Inverness CTGoalAlfie BavidgeAssist: David Wotherspoon
  6. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardSteven Hendrie
  7. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Luis LongstaffOff: David Wotherspoon
  8. Inverness CTGoalBilly McKayAssist: Paul Allan
  9. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Alfie StewartOff: Adam Mackinnon

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Inverness CT 0 - 0 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Hamilton Academical FC
3 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 4:0 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical?

Inverness CT score 1.80 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.88. The League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Inverness CT's matches and 44% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are Inverness CT and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical?

The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.