Scotland - League OneData current as of 11 September 2026

Inverness CT vs Peterhead: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
3 : 1half-time 2:0
Peterhead crest
Peterhead
165%(1.36)
X20%(4.50)
215%(8.60)

Inverness CT hold a distinct advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 17 wins this season and a +22 goal difference on their home ground. The hosts have won 71% of their home fixtures, keeping a clean sheet in half of these games, with an average of just 0.64 goals conceded per match. Peterhead perform significantly worse as the away side - losing half of their away games (50%), holding a negative goal difference of -12, and conceding an average of 1.86 goals per match on the road. The form of both teams over their last 5 matches is identical (1.8 PPG); however, Inverness's home supremacy and Peterhead's away vulnerabilities strongly suggest a comfortable win for the hosts. An additional argument is the fact that Inverness remain undefeated in their last 5 matches, while Peterhead have suffered as many as 4 defeats in their last 5 away outings.

Inverness CT vs Peterhead: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inverness CT played Peterhead in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Inverness CT: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Peterhead: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inverness CT scores 1.71 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Peterhead scores 1.46 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inverness CT 39%, Peterhead 64%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 43%, Peterhead 71%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.23. Inverness CT: 13.7 shots per match, Peterhead: 9.6.

Match halves

Inverness CT: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.93. Peterhead: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). Peterhead: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT hold a distinct advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 17 wins this season and a +22 goal difference on their home ground. The hosts have won 71% of their home fixtures, keeping a clean sheet in half of these games, with an average of just 0.64 goals conceded per match. Peterhead perform significantly worse as the away side - losing half of their away games (50%), holding a negative goal difference of -12, and conceding an average of 1.86 goals per match on the road. The form of both teams over their last 5 matches is identical (1.8 PPG); however, Inverness's home supremacy and Peterhead's away vulnerabilities strongly suggest a comfortable win for the hosts. An additional argument is the fact that Inverness remain undefeated in their last 5 matches, while Peterhead have suffered as many as 4 defeats in their last 5 away outings.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Inverness CTPeterhead
19Shots5
Inverness CTPeterhead
10Shots on target2
Inverness CTPeterhead
2.33xG0.62
Inverness CTPeterhead
10Corners0
Inverness CTPeterhead
62Dangerous attacks22
Inverness CTPeterhead
13Fouls7
Inverness CTPeterhead
0Cards1
Inverness CTPeterhead

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inverness CTPeterhead
1.71Goals scored / match1.46
Inverness CTPeterhead
0.64Goals conceded / match1.75
Inverness CTPeterhead
56%Average possession51%
Inverness CTPeterhead
5.89Shots on target / match4.04
Inverness CTPeterhead

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.71Shots per match9.64
Inverness CTPeterhead
5.89Shots on target4.04
Inverness CTPeterhead
12.5%Shot conversion15.2%
Inverness CTPeterhead
56%Possession51%
Inverness CTPeterhead
1.71xG for1.23
Inverness CTPeterhead
0.76xG against1.11
Inverness CTPeterhead

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedPeterhead: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTPeterhead
Accuracy (shots on target)43%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
61% W25% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-4
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 0.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Peterhead
WWLWL
Season result split
39% W18% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-12
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-7
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.46 goals / match - Peterhead

Inverness CT is 173% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.64 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.75 goals / match - Peterhead

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Peterhead keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).

Peterhead scoring profile: mixed

Peterhead scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 57% (16 of 28 matches).

48Goals scored (season)41
Inverness CTPeterhead
18Goals conceded (season)49
Inverness CTPeterhead
2.36Average goals in match3.21
Inverness CTPeterhead
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Inverness CTPeterhead
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Inverness CTPeterhead

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal75%
Inverness CTPeterhead
46%2 goals46%
Inverness CTPeterhead
25%3 goals21%
Inverness CTPeterhead
11%4 goals4%
Inverness CTPeterhead

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal89%
Inverness CTPeterhead
18%2 goals46%
Inverness CTPeterhead
4%3 goals25%
Inverness CTPeterhead
0%4 goals14%
Inverness CTPeterhead

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time36%
Inverness CTPeterhead
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Inverness CTPeterhead
36%Scored in both halves43%
Inverness CTPeterhead

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
Inverness CTPeterhead
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Inverness CTPeterhead
60%BTTS - last 560%
Inverness CTPeterhead

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Inverness CTPeterhead
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time54%
Inverness CTPeterhead
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Inverness CTPeterhead

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Inverness CTPeterhead
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Inverness CTPeterhead
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Inverness CTPeterhead

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.5 pts / match - Peterhead

Inverness CT - half-time state
46% leading43% draw11% trailing
Peterhead - half-time state
39% leading32% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.5
Inverness CTPeterhead
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.89
Inverness CTPeterhead
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Inverness CTPeterhead
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.61
Inverness CTPeterhead
75%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Inverness CTPeterhead
36%No goal before half-time36%
Inverness CTPeterhead

After half-time (2nd half)

1.86Points per match (2nd half)1.04
Inverness CTPeterhead
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Inverness CTPeterhead
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
Inverness CTPeterhead
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.61
Inverness CTPeterhead
71%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Inverness CTPeterhead
39%No goal after half-time46%
Inverness CTPeterhead

Inverness CT - second-half results

54% W25% D21% L
51
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Peterhead - second-half results

25% W29% D46% L
42
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Peterhead - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
9
2
31-45
8
2
46-60
11
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Peterhead
ScoredConceded
8
8
0-15
11
8
16-30
6
4
31-45
7
10
46-60
3
7
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Peterhead

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaPeterhead
Average goals in match 2.362.65 3.21
Both teams scored 39%49% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%51% 71%
Clean sheets 57%29% 11%
Goal before half-time 71%75% 89%
Goal after half-time 79%81% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalChanka ZimbaAssist: Alfie Stewart
  2. PeterheadYellow cardDanny Strachan
  3. Inverness CTGoalJordan Alonge
  4. Inverness CTGoalChanka ZimbaAssist: Luis Longstaff
  5. PeterheadGoalKieran Shanks
  6. PeterheadSubstitutionOn: Rob JonesOff: Sebastian Ross
  7. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Adam MackinnonOff: Alfie Bavidge

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

George CalderMatches officiated: 8
1.38Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins13%Draws38%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Inverness CT 2 - 0 - 0 Peterhead. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Peterhead FC
0 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
2 : 0
Peterhead FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Peterhead?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 3:1 Peterhead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Peterhead?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Peterhead won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Peterhead?

Inverness CT score 1.71 goals per game on average and Peterhead 1.46. The League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Inverness CT's matches and 64% of Peterhead's.

What form are Inverness CT and Peterhead in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Peterhead 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Peterhead?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inverness CT vs Peterhead: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.