Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT played Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Inverness CT: 0-3-1, 0.75 points/match. Raith Rovers: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Raith Rovers scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 50%, Raith Rovers 50%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 25%, Raith Rovers 25%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 14%.
xG, shots and style
Raith Rovers has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.27. Inverness CT: 8.3 shots per match, Raith Rovers: 11.8.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Raith Rovers: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 46-60 (1 goals). Raith Rovers: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 14%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Raith Rovers sit 3rd, while Inverness CT are eighth, with the visitors picking up 7 points from 4 matches compared to the hosts’ 3 points. Inverness have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, recording 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, while conceding as many as 10 goals during that period. Raith have shown a clearly more solid defensive record over the course of the season, conceding 3 goals in 4 matches, compared to Inverness’s 4. At home, the hosts have drawn both matches and score just 0.5 goals per game, despite an average xG of 1.50, indicating poor finishing. Raith win 50% of their away matches and convert 15% of their shots, compared to just 4% for Inverness, making an away win slightly more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick has a slight edge, as Inverness kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches, while its seasonal average of goals conceded stands at just 0.5. Raith averages 1.0 goal per game, but has failed to keep a clean sheet away from home and has failed to score in 50% of its matches, increasing the risk that the visitors will not find the net. The hosts also have a clear advantage in chance creation: their xG is 2.02 compared with Raith’s 1.03, while the average number of shots on target is 7.0 to 3.5. However, Inverness conceded 2.0 goals per game across its last five matches, so a Goal/Goal scenario remains realistic. Nevertheless, the low league BTTS rate of 35% and the hosts’ defensive profile point slightly more strongly towards an outcome in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Inverness creates a high volume of chances at home, averaging 2.02 xG and 7.0 shots on target per match, while Raith allows an average of just 1.30 xG. The visitors have a more modest attacking output, averaging 1.03 xG and 6.5 shots per game, while the hosts concede just 0.5 goals and 0.58 xG at home. In their last five matches, only 40% of Inverness games and 20% of Raith games went Over 2.5 goals, while both teams recorded 100% of matches below 3.5 goals in the available season data. Additionally, the Scottish league averages just 1.75 goals per match, with games featuring at least three goals accounting for only 15%. The strongest pick is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.20 goals leaves a clear margin below this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Recent form clearly favors Raith Rovers: the visitors have averaged 1.4 points over their last five matches, while Inverness have managed just 0.6 and have failed to win any of those games. Before the break, the hosts never took the lead, were trailing in 60% of matches, and averaged no goals in the first half, whereas Raith led in 40% of their games and averaged 0.8 goals. Inverness have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match across their last five outings, with a half-time goal difference of -3, increasing the visitors’ chances of building a lead in the opening half. Although Inverness’s earlier home statistics are stronger, with an xG of 2.02 and only 0.58 xG conceded, current form and Raith’s more solid defence, which has conceded just 0.8 goals per match recently, provide the strongest support for the HT/FT 2/2 outcome: Raith to lead at the break and win at full time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 58% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raith Rovers is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.75 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.25 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Inverness CT · 0.75 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Inverness CT scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Raith Rovers scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inverness CT
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raith Rovers is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Inverness CT · 2 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.71 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 25% | 14% | ▲ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished Inverness CT 0:2 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?
Inverness CT score 0.50 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.25. The Championship average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 14% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Inverness CT's matches and 50% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are Inverness CT and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 0-3-1 record (0.75 points per game) and Raith Rovers 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?
The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.