Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough: match statistics
Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ipswich Town played Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Ipswich Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Middlesbrough: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ipswich Town scores 1.73 and concedes 1.02 goals per match. Middlesbrough scores 1.48 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ipswich Town 56%, Middlesbrough 55%. Over 2.5: Ipswich Town 49%, Middlesbrough 52%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.66. Ipswich Town: 15.1 shots per match, Middlesbrough: 16.2.
Match halves
Ipswich Town: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.02. Middlesbrough: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Ipswich Town: 76-90+ (20 goals). Middlesbrough: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a home victory. Ipswich average 1.81 goals scored and concede only 0.71 at home, with home xG 1.79 versus opponents’ away xG 1.70, indicating superior efficiency and control. The hosts average 5.62 shots on target per match, keep 43% clean sheets and win 62% of home games, while Middlesbrough away average 4.57 shots on target, only 19% clean sheets and a 48% win rate. In the last 5 matches Ipswich have scored 7 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game (3-1-1), whereas Middlesbrough have scored 4 goals, have no wins and just 0.6 points per game (0-3-2). Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 24% of away matches versus 10% for the hosts, so I back Ipswich to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome because Middlesbrough has a season BTTS rate of 62% and 60% in the last 5 matches, versus a league-wide BTTS level of 56%. Ipswich posts a season BTTS of 48% (last 5: 40%) and a stronger defense — conceding 0.81 goals per game with 38% clean sheets — which partially limits the both-teams-to-score scenario. Middlesbrough concedes 1.19 goals per game and records only 19% clean sheets, while their season xG_for of 1.70 and recent xG of 2.33 contrasted with just 4 goals in 5 matches (0.8 per game) indicate high chance creation but temporary inefficiency. Ipswich generates xG 1.87 and has scored 71 goals this season. Both teams average 16.9 and 15.43 shots and 5.05 and 4.57 shots on target respectively, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 64% vs 36% and therefore pick Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data, I project 1.50 goals for Ipswich (attacking xG 1.87 vs Middlesbrough defensive xG 1.11, yielding ~1.50) and 1.42 for Middlesbrough (attacking xG 1.70 vs Ipswich defensive xG 1.13, yielding ~1.42), for a total of 2.92 goals. That total places the probability of at least 2 goals at a high level; the distribution suggests roughly a 79% chance for Over 1.5 and about 56% for Over 2.5. Season-long stats support this: Ipswich have Over 1.5 in 57% of matches, Middlesbrough in 81%, while Over 2.5 occurs in 43% and 62% of cases respectively. Both teams take a high number of shots (Ipswich average 16.9 shots and 5.05 on target, Middlesbrough 15.43 shots and 4.57 on target) and both teams have scored in 48% (Ipswich) and 62% (Middlesbrough) of matches, which increases the likelihood of goal exchanges. On this basis the strongest signal is to back Over 1.5 (ou_pred_line 1.5), as the combined xG of 2.92 and the seasonal over percentages give a clear edge to the Over side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back HT/FT 1/1 — Ipswich leading at the break and winning the match. The hosts led at half-time in 7 matches (33% of the season) and in 3 of their last 5 fixtures (60%), while Middlesbrough were behind at half-time in 9 matches (43%) and have not won in their last 5 away games (0% wins). Ipswich average 1.33 goals at home and have an xG of 1.87 versus Middlesbrough’s expected goals conceded of 1.11, yielding a home xG advantage of approximately 0.76; the hosts also record 5.05 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 4.57. Additionally, Ipswich keep a clean sheet in 38% of their matches this season versus Middlesbrough’s 19%, and over the last 5 matches Ipswich collect an average of 2.0 points per game compared to Middlesbrough’s 0.6, which strongly supports a scenario of leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ipswich Town | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ipswich Town is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ipswich Town · 0.6 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ipswich Town is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Ipswich Town · 1.48 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town scores in 88% of matches (36 of 41 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).
Middlesbrough scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Ipswich Town keeps a clean sheet in 37% (15 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ipswich Town
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ipswich Town is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Ipswich Town · 1.4 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ipswich Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ipswich Town | Liga | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.56 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 49% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ipswich Town 0 - 0 - 1 Middlesbrough. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough?
The Championship match finished Ipswich Town 2:2 Middlesbrough. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough?
Ipswich Town score 1.73 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 1.48. The Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Ipswich Town's matches and 55% of Middlesbrough's.
What form are Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough in?
Over the last 5 games Ipswich Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Middlesbrough 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough?
The statistical background for Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.