Ipswich Town vs Millwall: match statistics
Ipswich Town displays impressive home form with a 63% win rate and just a 5% loss rate at their own stadium, boasting a +22 goal difference in home matches. The hosts are undefeated in their last five overall matches (3 wins, 2 draws), having scored 10 goals while conceding only 4. Millwall, despite solid away form (50% win rate), falls short offensively compared to Ipswich – averaging 1.33 goals per away match versus the hosts' 1.84 at home. A key factor is Ipswich's advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and a significantly higher average of shots on target (5.74 vs 3.72), indicating greater control of the game. Considering all parameters, Ipswich's home advantage and their solid form make them the favorite, although Millwall's experience in away matches does not rule out a draw or an upset.
Ipswich Town vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ipswich Town played Millwall in Championship (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ipswich Town: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Millwall: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ipswich Town scores 1.78 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.37 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ipswich Town 57%, Millwall 47%. Over 2.5: Ipswich Town 51%, Millwall 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Ipswich Town has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.44. Ipswich Town: 15.4 shots per match, Millwall: 12.7.
Match halves
Ipswich Town: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.14. Millwall: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Ipswich Town: 76-90+ (20 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ipswich Town displays impressive home form with a 63% win rate and just a 5% loss rate at their own stadium, boasting a +22 goal difference in home matches. The hosts are undefeated in their last five overall matches (3 wins, 2 draws), having scored 10 goals while conceding only 4. Millwall, despite solid away form (50% win rate), falls short offensively compared to Ipswich – averaging 1.33 goals per away match versus the hosts' 1.84 at home. A key factor is Ipswich's advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and a significantly higher average of shots on target (5.74 vs 3.72), indicating greater control of the game. Considering all parameters, Ipswich's home advantage and their solid form make them the favorite, although Millwall's experience in away matches does not rule out a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ipswich Town | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Ipswich Town · 2.4 pts / match - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ipswich Town is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Ipswich Town · 1.37 goals / match - Millwall
Ipswich Town is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Ipswich Town · 1.13 goals / match - Millwall
Ipswich Town scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Millwall scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Ipswich Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ipswich Town
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ipswich Town is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - Ipswich Town · 1.47 pts / match - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ipswich Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ipswich Town
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ipswich Town | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.59 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 51% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ipswich Town 0 - 1 - 0 Millwall. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ipswich Town vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Ipswich Town 1:1 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ipswich Town vs Millwall?
Ipswich Town score 1.78 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.37. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Ipswich Town's matches and 47% of Millwall's.
What form are Ipswich Town and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Ipswich Town have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Millwall 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ipswich Town vs Millwall?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.