Iraklis Yerolakkou vs APEA: match statistics
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs APEA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Iraklis Yerolakkou played APEA in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Iraklis Yerolakkou: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. APEA: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Iraklis Yerolakkou scores 1.00 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. APEA scores 1.26 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Iraklis Yerolakkou 56%, APEA 48%. Over 2.5: Iraklis Yerolakkou 33%, APEA 52%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
APEA has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.16. Iraklis Yerolakkou: 5.0 shots per match, APEA: 7.5.
Match halves
Iraklis Yerolakkou: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.56. APEA: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Iraklis Yerolakkou: 0-15 (6 goals). APEA: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win because Iraklis has a clearly superior recent run and greater efficiency in front of their goal. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 9 goals and have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, translating to an average of 2.0 points per game, while APEA scored 8 goals and averages 1.6 points per game. At home Iraklis records 1.43 goals and xG 1.38 with 1.21 goals conceded, whereas the visitors on the road average 1.00 goals scored, xG 1.29 and concede 1.31 on average, giving the hosts a slight offensive and defensive edge. APEA attempts more shots (9.09 vs 8.44) and more shots on target (4.73 vs 4.0), but their lower conversion rate (11% versus 12%) and a negative away goal difference (-4) limit their prospects. Considering the hosts’ better form, higher home goal average and the high proportion of draws recorded by Iraklis (43% at home), I assign a 50% chance to a home win, 30% to a draw and 20% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean towards BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome, since both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches. The home side averages 1.5 goals scored and concedes 1.43 per game with xG 1.33, while APEA scores 1.0 and concedes 1.31 with xG 1.29, indicating similar offensive and defensive potential. In the last 5 fixtures the home team scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 5 (1.0), and the visitors scored 8 (1.6) and conceded 5 (1.0), so both sides have been regularly scoring and conceding. The visitors have only 15% clean sheets versus 36% for the hosts, and average shots on target 4.09 vs 4.73 show that APEA is creating chances as well, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering the season BTTS rate of 36% for the home team versus 62% for the visitors, along with similar xG and recent form, I assess the probability of BTTS at 62% versus 38% against.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and the opponent’s defensive metrics I estimate 1.30 xG for Iraklis and 1.18 xG for APEA, totaling 2.48 expected goals. A Poisson model with a mean of 2.48 yields roughly a 71% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 45% for 3+ (Over 2.5) and about 24% for 4+ (Over 3.5). Seasonal statistics support this view: the home side have 71% of matches with at least 2 goals, the visitors 77%, and in the last 5 matches the home team scored 9 goals (1.8/match) while the visitors scored 8 goals (1.6/match). Additionally, shot totals 9.73 vs 9.09 and shots on target 4.09 vs 4.73 with conversion rates 12% vs 11% favour scoring, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 and I recommend backing it at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I choose X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time) as the most likely scenario. In the last 5 matches Iraklis were level at the break in 80% (4/5) and scored on average 0.4 goals before Half-Time and 1.4 goals after the break; APEA led at the break in 40% of their last 5 (2/5). Seasonal figures confirm the home advantage in second halves: home teams average 1.5 goals per match versus 1.0 for visitors, score on average 1.0 goal in the second half versus 0.46 for APEA, and 86% of home matches have at least one goal after the break (vs 62% for away teams). Similar xG (1.33 vs 1.29) and a positive second-half goal differential for the hosts in the last 5 matches (+5 to +1) suggest that a draw at Half-Time often finishes as a home win, hence X/1 as the strongest signal (40%), with the second option X/X (22%) and a significant chance of a turnaround after the break (2/1 17%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | APEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Iraklis Yerolakkou · 1.6 pts / match - APEA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APEA is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Iraklis Yerolakkou · 1.26 goals / match - APEA
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Iraklis Yerolakkou · 1.37 goals / match - APEA
Iraklis Yerolakkou scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while APEA keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
APEA scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Iraklis Yerolakkou keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Iraklis Yerolakkou
Over / Under - APEA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APEA is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Iraklis Yerolakkou · 1.19 pts / match - APEA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Iraklis Yerolakkou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
APEA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Iraklis Yerolakkou
APEA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | Liga | APEA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.72 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- APEAGoalArafat Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Iraklis Yerolakkou 1 - 0 - 1 APEA. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Iraklis Yerolakkou vs APEA?
The Second Division match finished Iraklis Yerolakkou 0:2 APEA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Iraklis Yerolakkou and APEA?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Iraklis Yerolakkou won 1, APEA won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Iraklis Yerolakkou vs APEA?
Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.00 goals per game on average and APEA 1.26. The Second Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Iraklis Yerolakkou's matches and 48% of APEA's.
What form are Iraklis Yerolakkou and APEA in?
Over the last 5 games Iraklis Yerolakkou have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and APEA 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Iraklis Yerolakkou vs APEA?
The statistical background for Iraklis Yerolakkou vs APEA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.