Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Irapuato displays significantly better home form with 46% wins and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, boasting high possession (58%) and better xG stats (1.79 vs 1.34). Atlético Zacatepec performs poorly on the road with only 30% wins, a negative goal difference (-3), and lower offensive efficiency (1.3 goals/match). The recent form of both teams is similar; however, Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the clear difference in quality on their own pitch favor a home win. Nevertheless, it's important to consider Irapuato's relatively high draw rate at home (38%), which increases the likelihood of a points split.
Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Irapuato played Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
Irapuato: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Irapuato scores 1.48 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.19 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Irapuato 52%, Atlético Zacatepec 57%. Over 2.5: Irapuato 59%, Atlético Zacatepec 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Irapuato has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.29. Irapuato: 12.2 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 11.2.
Match halves
Irapuato: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.93. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Irapuato: 76-90+ (11 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Irapuato displays significantly better home form with 46% wins and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, boasting high possession (58%) and better xG stats (1.79 vs 1.34). Atlético Zacatepec performs poorly on the road with only 30% wins, a negative goal difference (-3), and lower offensive efficiency (1.3 goals/match). The recent form of both teams is similar; however, Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the clear difference in quality on their own pitch favor a home win. Nevertheless, it's important to consider Irapuato's relatively high draw rate at home (38%), which increases the likelihood of a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Irapuato | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Zacatepec is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Irapuato · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Irapuato · 1.19 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Irapuato is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Irapuato · 1.67 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Irapuato scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irapuato
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Irapuato is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Irapuato · 1.1 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Irapuato
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Irapuato | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.88 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardYohan Salwan Zetuna
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Irapuato 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Irapuato 6:2 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Irapuato score 1.48 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.19. The Ascenso MX average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Irapuato's matches and 57% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Irapuato and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Irapuato have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irapuato vs Atlético Zacatepec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.