Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Irapuato displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 10% losses at their stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate in possession (58%) and show high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with an xG of 1.79. Leones Negros, despite a better recent overall form (2.4 PTS/match), present poor away statistics - 50% losses, a negative goal difference of -4, and only a 38% win rate on the road. The visitors score an average of just 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1.12, indicating offensive issues. Considering Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the weaknesses of Leones Negros in away fixtures, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, though Irapuato's series of draws in recent matches (3 out of 5) suggests that a points split is also likely.
Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Irapuato played Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Irapuato: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Irapuato scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Irapuato 52%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 53%. Over 2.5: Irapuato 52%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 41%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.51. Irapuato: 12.1 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.2.
Match halves
Irapuato: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Irapuato: 76-90+ (7 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Irapuato displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 10% losses at their stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate in possession (58%) and show high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with an xG of 1.79. Leones Negros, despite a better recent overall form (2.4 PTS/match), present poor away statistics - 50% losses, a negative goal difference of -4, and only a 38% win rate on the road. The visitors score an average of just 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1.12, indicating offensive issues. Considering Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the weaknesses of Leones Negros in away fixtures, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, though Irapuato's series of draws in recent matches (3 out of 5) suggests that a points split is also likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Irapuato | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Irapuato · 2.4 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Irapuato · 1.47 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Irapuato scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irapuato
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Irapuato · 1.29 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Irapuato
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Irapuato | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraYellow cardMiguel Alejandro Nuño Medina
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Denilson Saaid Muñoz Bustamante
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan de Dios Aguayo MorenoOff: Jonathan Alejandro Sánchez Hernández
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Irapuato 0 - 0 - 1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Irapuato 4:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Irapuato score 1.33 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.47. The Ascenso MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Irapuato's matches and 53% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Irapuato and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Irapuato have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.