Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Irapuato displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 10% losses at their stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate in possession (58%) and show high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with an xG of 1.79. Leones Negros, despite a better recent overall form (2.4 PTS/match), present poor away statistics - 50% losses, a negative goal difference of -4, and only a 38% win rate on the road. The visitors score an average of just 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1.12, indicating offensive issues. Considering Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the weaknesses of Leones Negros in away fixtures, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, though Irapuato's series of draws in recent matches (3 out of 5) suggests that a points split is also likely.
Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Irapuato play Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 January 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Irapuato: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Irapuato scores 1.59 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.20 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Irapuato 56%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 57%. Over 2.5: Irapuato 62%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Irapuato has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.53. Irapuato: 12.8 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.5.
Match halves
Irapuato: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.06. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Irapuato: 46-60 (16 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Irapuato displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 10% losses at their stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate in possession (58%) and show high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with an xG of 1.79. Leones Negros, despite a better recent overall form (2.4 PTS/match), present poor away statistics - 50% losses, a negative goal difference of -4, and only a 38% win rate on the road. The visitors score an average of just 1 goal away from home with an xG of 1.12, indicating offensive issues. Considering Irapuato's advantage in home matches and the weaknesses of Leones Negros in away fixtures, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, though Irapuato's series of draws in recent matches (3 out of 5) suggests that a points split is also likely.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Irapuato | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Irapuato is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Irapuato · 0.8 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Irapuato · 1.2 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Irapuato is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Irapuato · 1.53 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Irapuato scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Irapuato
Over / Under — Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Irapuato · 1.2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Irapuato
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Irapuato | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Irapuato 0 - 0 - 1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Irapuato 4:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Irapuato score 1.59 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.20. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Irapuato's matches and 57% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Irapuato and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Irapuato have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irapuato vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.