Irtysh vs Zhetysu: match statistics
Irtysh vs Zhetysu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Irtysh played Zhetysu in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Irtysh: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Zhetysu: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Irtysh scores 1.40 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Zhetysu scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Irtysh 80%, Zhetysu 40%. Over 2.5: Irtysh 60%, Zhetysu 40%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Irtysh has higher xG: 1.34 vs 0.94. Irtysh: 10.2 shots per match, Zhetysu: 8.0.
Match halves
Irtysh: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Zhetysu: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Irtysh: 0-15 (2 goals). Zhetysu: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Irtysh holds a clear home advantage: on average 65% possession and 4 shots on target per match, translating to xG 1.38 and an average of 1.0 goals scored with only 0.5 conceded at home. Zhetysu concede an average of 2.0 goals away and register average xG against of 1.54, while in the last five matches the visitors have scored only 4 goals compared to Irtysh’s 8. Visitors are slightly more efficient in shot conversion (13% vs 10%) and score on average 1.33 goals away, but lower possession (45%) and lower xG 1.18 indicate less control of the game. Therefore I assign Irtysh a 60% probability to win, a 25% draw probability and 15% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data are mixed: the league shows BTTS in 50% of matches. Irtysh has a season BTTS rate of 0% versus Zhetysu’s 67%, but in the last 5 matches Irtysh records 60% BTTS while Zhetysu only 20%. In terms of chance quality Zhetysu posts average xG 1.18, 10.33 shots and 3.67 shots on target with a 13% conversion, whereas Irtysh has xG 0.58, 4.5 shots and 1.0 shot on target with 0% conversion. In the last 5 games Irtysh averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, and Zhetysu scored 0.8 and conceded 0.6; seasonally the away side concedes a lot (2.0 goals per game), which increases the hosts’ chance to score. Countering this is the home teams’ season clean sheet rate of 50% and a high league clean sheet rate of 65%, which limits BTTS. Considering Irtysh’s 60% BTTS in the last 5, Zhetysu’s season 67% BTTS, the visitors’ advantage in shots and xG and Zhetysu conceding 2.0 seasonally, I favor the "both teams to score" (BTTS - Yes) scenario and rate it 60% vs 40% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates total expected goals around 2.24: Irtysh has xG_for 0.58 and averaging with the opponent’s xG_against ((0.58+1.54)/2) yields 1.06; Zhetysu has xG_for 1.18 and averaging with Irtysh’s xG_against ((1.18+1.19)/2) yields 1.18, totaling ~2.24. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.24 provides a reference of ~65% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~39% for Over 2.5 and ~19% for Over 3.5. Zhetysu generates substantially more chances: 10.33 shots and 3.67 on target with a 13% conversion and records 67% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, while Irtysh averages 4.5 shots and 1.0 on target; however, in the last 5 matches Irtysh scores on average 1.6 goals and has xG_last5 of 1.33. Considering the cumulative xG=2.24, Zhetysu’s shot dominance and Irtysh’s recent improvement, the strongest signal is an Over at the 1.5 line; final estimates: Over1.5=74%, Over2.5=52%, Over3.5=26%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win (X/2), because Irtysh draws at the break in 100% of matches this season and had a half-time draw in 75% of their last 5 games. Zhetysu has a clear offensive advantage: average xG 1.18 versus the hosts’ 0.58, on average 10.33 shots and 3.67 shots on target compared to 4.5 and 1.0 for Irtysh, and a shot conversion rate of 13% versus 0%. The visitors have scored 4 goals before half-time this season and led at the break in 40% of their last 5 matches, indicating they more often break a goalless scoreline after the interval. Irtysh’s season average of 0.0 goals and lack of shot conversion severely limits their chances of taking and holding a lead, so X/2 is assigned the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Irtysh | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Irtysh is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Irtysh · 1 pts / match - Zhetysu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irtysh is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Irtysh · 0.8 goals / match - Zhetysu
Irtysh scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Zhetysu scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Irtysh keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irtysh
Over / Under - Zhetysu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Irtysh is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Irtysh · 1.2 pts / match - Zhetysu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irtysh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zhetysu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Irtysh
Zhetysu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Irtysh | Liga | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.13 | • 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Irtysh vs Zhetysu?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Irtysh 1:2 Zhetysu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irtysh vs Zhetysu?
Irtysh score 1.40 goals per game on average and Zhetysu 0.80. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Irtysh's matches and 40% of Zhetysu's.
What form are Irtysh and Zhetysu in?
Over the last 5 games Irtysh have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Zhetysu 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irtysh vs Zhetysu?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Irtysh vs Zhetysu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.