Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Isidro Metapán played Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Isidro Metapán: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fuerte San Francisco: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Isidro Metapán scores 1.23 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.83 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Isidro Metapán 57%, Fuerte San Francisco 50%. Over 2.5: Isidro Metapán 52%, Fuerte San Francisco 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Fuerte San Francisco has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.31. Isidro Metapán: 9.2 shots per match, Fuerte San Francisco: 9.7.
Match halves
Isidro Metapán: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.64. Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Isidro Metapán: 31-45+ (15 goals). Fuerte San Francisco: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Isidro Metapán is the favorite for this match: in the season they have 16 wins, 15 draws and 13 losses with a goal record of 54-54, and at home they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per match. Fuerte San Francisco has only 5 wins and 21 losses this season; away they score 0.9 goals and concede 1.52 on average, and in their last 5 matches they scored 2 goals while conceding 7. The hosts' advantage in quality of chances is also visible in xG: Isidro at home has 1.46 xG versus 1.26 xG for the visitors on the road, they register 5.05 shots on target per match against Fuerte's 3.65 on target and maintain higher possession (53% vs 43%). Additionally, Isidro has a lower share of matches without scoring (36% vs 48%), a higher clean sheet percentage (36% vs 24%) and better recent points form (1 point on average in the last 5 matches versus 0.4 for the visitors), all indicating a more stable home defense. On this basis I tip a home win ('1') with estimated probabilities: 65% for Isidro, 20% for a draw and 15% for Fuerte.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes as more likely (58% vs 42%) because seasonal data shows a moderate tendency for both teams to score: Isidro Metapán has BTTS in 57% of matches, Fuerte San Francisco in 43%, and the league average is 53%. Both teams keep a clean sheet in only 24% of fixtures (meaning in 76% they concede at least once), so assuming approximate independence the probability that both concede is about 0.76*0.76 ≈ 58%. Supporting this are xG and goals stats: Isidro has xG 1.40 and concedes on average 1.86 goals this season, Fuerte has xG 1.26 and concedes 1.52 on average — a combined 3.38 conceded goals per pairing, which suggests an open game conducive to Goal/Goal. The counterargument is recent form: in the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 40% and Fuerte scores only 0.4 goals on average in their last five, which lowers confidence; nonetheless the prevailing seasonal signals and clean sheet indicators favor the "yes" option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Isidro Metapán’s season goals average is 0.76, Fuerte San Francisco 0.90, but xG indicates 1.40 for the home side and 1.26 for the away side, giving a combined xG = 2.66. Defensively Isidro concedes 1.86 goals per match on average, Fuerte 1.52, and both teams have 71% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season (71%/71%), which strongly supports Over 1.5. Additionally, 81% of Isidro’s matches and 86% of Fuerte’s matches finish above 0.5 goals, and the average shots are 10.62 (home) vs 9.0 (away) with conversion rates of 7% and 11%, increasing the probability of at least two goals. Season Over 2.5 rates are 43% for the home side and 48% for the away side (average ≈46%), so the 2.5 line is balanced and I assess the chance of Over 2.5 at about 48%, whereas Over 3.5 has weak support: 33%/19% (average ≈26%). Consequently the strongest statistical signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over at 1.5) with an estimated probability ~72% and expected xG 1.40 (home) and 1.26 (away), total 2.66.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: the home team were level at the break in 48% of matches and the visitors in 52% (about 50% on average), so a draw after 45 minutes carries the greatest weight. For the final result the season-long indicators favor the visitors — the away side win 19% of matches versus only 5% for the hosts, and shot conversion is 11% for the visitors compared to 7% for the hosts, which benefits the visitors in the decisive phase. The home team concedes on average 1.86 goals per match versus 1.52 conceded by the visitors, and the home xG is 1.40 against the visitors’ 1.26 — this shows the hosts create slightly more chances but finish them worse. Considering the high share of draws at half-time (~50%) and the seasonal advantage in finishing for the visitors, I indicate the most likely scenario as a draw at half-time and an away win (X/2). In my distribution I assigned this scenario the single highest weight (20%), while alternatives such as draw/draw (X/X) and visitors leading from half-time to full-time (2/2) also hold significant shares (~20% each), reflecting considerable instability in both teams.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Isidro Metapán | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Isidro Metapán is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Isidro Metapán · 0.4 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Isidro Metapán is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Isidro Metapán · 0.83 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Isidro Metapán is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Isidro Metapán · 1.69 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Isidro Metapán scores in 73% of matches (32 of 44 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 24% (10 of 42 matches).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 57% of matches (24 of 42 matches), while Isidro Metapán keeps a clean sheet in 27% (12 of 44 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Isidro Metapán
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Isidro Metapán is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Isidro Metapán · 0.79 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Isidro Metapán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Isidro Metapán
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Isidro Metapán | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Fuerte San FranciscoGoalJoshua Gallardo
- Fuerte San FranciscoGoalMichael Yosimar Rodríguez Quiñónez
- Isidro MetapánGoalMelvin Alberto Cartagena Portillo
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Isidro Metapán 1 - 0 - 2 Fuerte San Francisco. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Isidro Metapán 1:3 Fuerte San Francisco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Isidro Metapán and Fuerte San Francisco?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Isidro Metapán won 1, Fuerte San Francisco won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Isidro Metapán score 1.23 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.83. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Isidro Metapán's matches and 50% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are Isidro Metapán and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games Isidro Metapán have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The statistical background for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.