Ismaily SC vs Nasr: match statistics

Ismaily SC sit 18th and have lost both of their league matches so far, conceding 5 goals while scoring just 2. The hosts’ last five games have produced 4 defeats, only 1 draw, and a 3:10 goal difference, highlighting clear problems both in chance creation and defensive organisation. Nasr remain unbeaten in the league after two draws, while they have collected 6 points in their last five matches compared with Ismaily SC’s 1 point. Away from home, the visitors create chances worth an average of 1.49 xG, record 11 shots and 7 shots on target per match, while the hosts’ opponents score just 1 goal on average. Nasr’s advantage in current form and the quality of chances created points to a narrow away victory, although the visitors’ high draw rate increases the likelihood of the points being shared.

BTTS - No is supported by the league’s low-scoring profile, where both teams score in just 40% of matches and the average is only 1.85 goals per game. Ismaily have scored just 0.6 goals per match across their last 5 games, while Nasr have averaged 0.8, meaning the hosts in particular are struggling to find the net consistently. Season data shows that Ismaily have failed to score in 100% of their home matches, with an average xG of 0.79 and just 2 shots on target per game. Nasr register more shots on target, averaging 7 per match, but their recent xG stands at 0.91, which does not provide a strong basis for expecting goals from both sides. Although Ismaily have conceded an average of 2.0 goals recently, the more likely scenario is that Nasr may score, while the hosts fail to find the net.

The league profile is clearly defensive: the average is just 1.85 goals per match, while games featuring at least 3 goals account for 35% of all fixtures. Ismaily have scored only 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches, with an xG of 1.27, whereas Nasr have averaged 0.8 goals and generated 0.91 xG. The visitors are, however, more active in attack, averaging 11 shots and 7 on target compared with 6 and 2 respectively for the hosts, which raises their projection to 1.20 goals. Despite Ismaily's defensive struggles, having conceded 2.0 goals per game in their last five appearances, both teams have recorded 100% of their league matches under 3.5 goals this season. A projected total of 2.15 goals, combined with the league's low-scoring profile, gives the strongest edge to the Under 3.5 goals option.

The strongest HT/FT option is a draw at half-time and a Nasr win after the final whistle, as the visitors create significantly more chances: their average xG is 1.49 compared with Ismaily’s 0.79, while shots on target stand at 7 to 2. Ismaily have failed to score before the break in their last five matches, conceded an average of 1.2 goals in the first half, and were trailing at half-time in 80% of those games. Nasr have also averaged no goals in the first halves, but they went into the break level in as many as 75% of their recent matches, reinforcing the scenario of a cautious opening. After the break, the hosts have conceded an average of 0.8 goals across their last five appearances, while Nasr remain the more consistent side in terms of results: they lost only 20% of those matches, compared with 80% for Ismaily. The low league average of 1.85 goals per match, along with 55% of first halves featuring at least one goal, further supports the expectation of a balanced opening and a turnaround in favour of the visitors after the break.