Ismaily SC vs Tanta SC: match statistics

A draw looks the most likely outcome, as neither side has won at home or away so far, while 67% of Tanta SC’s away matches have ended level. Ismaily SC average 0.67 goals scored and 2 conceded at home, but the visitors score just 0.33 goals per away game and have failed to find the net in 67% of those matches. Tanta SC’s defence looks more solid: they have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their away games and concede an average of 1 goal, although opponents create chances worth 1.07 xG against them. In their last five league matches, the hosts have scored 7 goals but conceded 8, while the visitors have managed just 2 goals and conceded 5. These figures point to a closely contested match in which both teams’ lack of cutting edge could outweigh the hosts’ defensive frailties.

The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: Tanta averages just 0.33 goals per match and failed to find the net in 67% of its matches. In their last 5 matches, the visitors scored only 2 goals, and both teams scored in just 20% of those games. Ismaily has the higher xG, 1.21 compared with its opponent's 1.03, but failed to score in 50% of its matches, while Tanta kept a clean sheet in 67% of its games. Although Ismaily recorded BTTS in 80% of its last 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals, the visitors' poor finishing and the teams' season BTTS rates of 25% and 33% offer stronger support for BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score, which does not necessarily mean a 0-0 result.

Ismaily average 0.75 goals per match this season, while Tanta average just 0.33, limiting both teams’ scoring potential. Over their last five games, the hosts have averaged 1.4 goals, compared with just 0.4 for the visitors; in addition, Tanta have failed to score in 67% of their matches. Under 3.5 goals has landed in all of Ismaily’s matches and 67% of Tanta’s, although the small sample sizes make these percentages less reliable. The league average is 2.21 goals, while the forecast for this match is 1.85, making Under 3.5 the strongest signal among the lines considered.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Tanta were level at the break in all three of their away matches so far, while Ismaily have averaged just 0.25 goals before half-time at home. Both teams’ poor scoring records favour the draw holding, with the hosts averaging 0.75 goals per home match and the visitors 0.33 per away match. Tanta drew two of their three away matches and failed to score in the second half, strengthening the X/X scenario. X/1 remains an alternative, as Ismaily average 0.5 goals after the break, while Tanta concede 0.67 goals in that period. However, with Tanta keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their away matches, I rate the draw at full-time slightly higher than a home win.