İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics
İstanbul Başakşehir displays significantly better form and standing (7th place) compared to Fatih Karagümrük (18th place). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals, while the visitors have secured no victories in this period, conceding 8 goals. Başakşehir's home statistics are solid with 25% clean sheets and a +3 goal difference, whereas Karagümrük possesses a disastrous away record: 75% losses, 0% clean sheets, and a goal difference of -10. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS%), which, combined with the hosts' efficiency, makes a Başakşehir victory the most probable scenario. The disparity in quality, form, and efficiency clearly points to a home triumph.
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İstanbul Başakşehir played Fatih Karagümrük in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
İstanbul Başakşehir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fatih Karagümrük: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
İstanbul Başakşehir scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.82 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İstanbul Başakşehir 59%, Fatih Karagümrük 41%. Over 2.5: İstanbul Başakşehir 47%, Fatih Karagümrük 41%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
İstanbul Başakşehir has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.14. İstanbul Başakşehir: 12.9 shots per match, Fatih Karagümrük: 10.7.
Match halves
İstanbul Başakşehir: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00. Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
İstanbul Başakşehir: 76-90+ (7 goals). Fatih Karagümrük: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
İstanbul Başakşehir displays significantly better form and standing (7th place) compared to Fatih Karagümrük (18th place). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals, while the visitors have secured no victories in this period, conceding 8 goals. Başakşehir's home statistics are solid with 25% clean sheets and a +3 goal difference, whereas Karagümrük possesses a disastrous away record: 75% losses, 0% clean sheets, and a goal difference of -10. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS%), which, combined with the hosts' efficiency, makes a Başakşehir victory the most probable scenario. The disparity in quality, form, and efficiency clearly points to a home triumph.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İstanbul Başakşehir | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 0.4 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 0.82 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
İstanbul Başakşehir is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 1.88 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
İstanbul Başakşehir scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while İstanbul Başakşehir keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İstanbul Başakşehir
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 0.88 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İstanbul Başakşehir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İstanbul Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| İstanbul Başakşehir | Liga | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: İstanbul Başakşehir 1 - 0 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The Süper Lig match finished İstanbul Başakşehir 2:1 Fatih Karagümrük. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük?
İstanbul Başakşehir score 1.59 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 0.82. The Süper Lig average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of İstanbul Başakşehir's matches and 41% of Fatih Karagümrük's.
What form are İstanbul Başakşehir and Fatih Karagümrük in?
Over the last 5 games İstanbul Başakşehir have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.