İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor: match statistics
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İstanbul Başakşehir play Samsunspor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
İstanbul Başakşehir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Samsunspor: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
İstanbul Başakşehir scores 1.71 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Samsunspor scores 1.35 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İstanbul Başakşehir 56%, Samsunspor 62%. Over 2.5: İstanbul Başakşehir 62%, Samsunspor 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
İstanbul Başakşehir has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.42. İstanbul Başakşehir: 13.5 shots per match, Samsunspor: 13.0.
Match halves
İstanbul Başakşehir: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.88. Samsunspor: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
İstanbul Başakşehir: 76-90+ (14 goals). Samsunspor: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
İstanbul Başakşehir holds a clear advantage in seasonal metrics: 53 goals scored versus Samsunspor’s 43, and at home they average 1.88 goals and xG 1.50 per match. The hosts create more chances — 5.06 shots on target and 13.00 total shots per home match compared to the visitors’ 3.75/11.88 — and have a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 13%). Defensively the hosts look stronger: they concede 1.06 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches, while Samsunspor concedes 1.56 goals away and records only 19% clean sheets. At the same time the visitors are in excellent recent form over the last 5 matches: 4 wins and 1 draw, 11 goals scored and an average of 2.6 points per game, giving them a realistic chance of an upset. Considering the hosts’ xG advantage (1.50 vs 1.31), superior home defence and dominance in shot volume, I forecast a home win, although a draw or an away victory remain possible given Samsunspor’s form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İstanbul Başakşehir | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Samsunspor is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 2.4 pts / match - Samsunspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 1.35 goals / match - Samsunspor
İstanbul Başakşehir is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 1.32 goals / match - Samsunspor
İstanbul Başakşehir scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Samsunspor scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while İstanbul Başakşehir keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — İstanbul Başakşehir
Over / Under — Samsunspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir · 1.29 pts / match - Samsunspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İstanbul Başakşehir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Samsunspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İstanbul Başakşehir
Samsunspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| İstanbul Başakşehir | Liga | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.74 | 2.65 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: İstanbul Başakşehir 1 - 0 - 0 Samsunspor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?
The Süper Lig match finished İstanbul Başakşehir 3:0 Samsunspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir score 1.71 goals per game on average and Samsunspor 1.35. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of İstanbul Başakşehir's matches and 62% of Samsunspor's.
What form are İstanbul Başakşehir and Samsunspor in?
Over the last 5 games İstanbul Başakşehir have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Samsunspor 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.