Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Istra 1961 displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and a neutral goal difference on home turf. The hosts have averaged 2 points per match in their last five outings, winning three of them. Conversely, Lokomotiva Zagreb has very poor away form – just 11% wins on the road, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of minus eight. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals. Although Lokomotiva has slightly better possession stats (54%), their defensive efficiency away is drastic, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Given the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' crisis in form, Istra 1961 is the clear favorite for this encounter.
Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Istra 1961 played Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Istra 1961: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Istra 1961 scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.16 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Istra 1961 68%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 79%. Over 2.5: Istra 1961 63%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 47%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiva Zagreb has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.32. Istra 1961: 10.4 shots per match, Lokomotiva Zagreb: 11.2.
Match halves
Istra 1961: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Istra 1961: 16-30 (5 goals). Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Istra 1961 displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and a neutral goal difference on home turf. The hosts have averaged 2 points per match in their last five outings, winning three of them. Conversely, Lokomotiva Zagreb has very poor away form – just 11% wins on the road, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of minus eight. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals. Although Lokomotiva has slightly better possession stats (54%), their defensive efficiency away is drastic, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Given the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' crisis in form, Istra 1961 is the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Istra 1961 is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 0.8 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Istra 1961 is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 1.16 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961 is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 1.63 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961 scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Istra 1961
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 1.32 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Istra 1961
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 2.74 | • 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Istra 1961 1 - 1 - 0 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 1:1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 score 1.37 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.16. The Prva HNL average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Istra 1961's matches and 79% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.