Istra 1961 vs Osijek: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest between two teams in poor form. Istra 1961 has not won any of their last five matches, earning just 0.2 points per match, evidencing a deep crisis. Osijek presents slightly better form with 1.2 points per match in the last five games, but their away record is catastrophic – only 9% wins on the road. The hosts have home advantage with a 36% win rate at home and a better average of goals conceded (1.27 vs 1.82), but their current form is alarming. Considering the poor disposition of both teams, Istra's high percentage of home draws (36%), and similar xG values for both sides, I expect a tight, low-scoring encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw is the most probable result.
Istra 1961 vs Osijek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Istra 1961 played Osijek in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Istra 1961: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Osijek: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Istra 1961 scores 1.21 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Osijek scores 0.88 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Istra 1961 63%, Osijek 46%. Over 2.5: Istra 1961 58%, Osijek 42%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.29. Istra 1961: 10.0 shots per match, Osijek: 12.1.
Match halves
Istra 1961: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Osijek: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Istra 1961: 46-60 (6 goals). Osijek: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest between two teams in poor form. Istra 1961 has not won any of their last five matches, earning just 0.2 points per match, evidencing a deep crisis. Osijek presents slightly better form with 1.2 points per match in the last five games, but their away record is catastrophic – only 9% wins on the road. The hosts have home advantage with a 36% win rate at home and a better average of goals conceded (1.27 vs 1.82), but their current form is alarming. Considering the poor disposition of both teams, Istra's high percentage of home draws (36%), and similar xG values for both sides, I expect a tight, low-scoring encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw is the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osijek is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 1.2 pts / match - Osijek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Istra 1961 is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 0.88 goals / match - Osijek
Istra 1961 scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Osijek scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Istra 1961
Over / Under - Osijek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Osijek is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 1.17 pts / match - Osijek
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Istra 1961
Osijek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Istra 1961 2 - 0 - 0 Osijek. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Osijek?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 0:1 Osijek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Osijek?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 2, Osijek won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Osijek?
Istra 1961 score 1.21 goals per game on average and Osijek 0.88. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Istra 1961's matches and 46% of Osijek's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Osijek in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Osijek 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Osijek?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.